Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > PL/NL Texas Hold'em > High Stakes
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #31  
Old 11-22-2007, 02:05 PM
Ansky Ansky is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: pokersavvyplus.com!
Posts: 13,541
Default Re: Strange hand vs CTS

[ QUOTE ]
gotta call

[/ QUOTE ]

no you don't.

I agree w/ magicninjas rant here.
Reply With Quote
  #32  
Old 11-22-2007, 02:11 PM
EnoBaLL EnoBaLL is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 49
Default Re: Strange hand vs CTS

how would you know what to do
Reply With Quote
  #33  
Old 11-22-2007, 02:21 PM
MrHoobris MrHoobris is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Vancouver
Posts: 170
Default Re: Strange hand vs CTS

[ QUOTE ]

care to explain this a bit further? the 0ev proposition.

[/ QUOTE ]

The EV of folding is always zero. By folding, you do not expect to gain or lose anything. Folding can still be a bad EV-play if EV(Call)>0, and this is where the confusion arises.

If you decided EV(Call)=+100, then you do lose 100 by folding, but the EV of folding is not negative, it's still zero.
Reply With Quote
  #34  
Old 11-22-2007, 02:24 PM
bigt439 bigt439 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: 9 to 5 is how you survive...
Posts: 5,118
Default Re: Strange hand vs CTS

[ QUOTE ]
i think most of the time he has a hand like TJcc or a straight here, likely one that includes a 7... your hand is very possibly a set given the utg open and calling of a reraise. that board crushed that range and cole should know this... so while it's possible and makes a lot of sense that he would have a draw here, it would have to be a pretty big draw. and if he does have a made hand, pushing is pretty much the only size bet that makes sense on the turn given your range. i think it's close but i can definitely find a fold here.

[/ QUOTE ]

i agree with vanessa completely here.
Reply With Quote
  #35  
Old 11-22-2007, 02:35 PM
Isura Isura is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 13,926
Default Re: Strange hand vs CTS

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

care to explain this a bit further? the 0ev proposition.

[/ QUOTE ]

The EV of folding is always zero. By folding, you do not expect to gain or lose anything. Folding can still be a bad EV-play if EV(Call)>0, and this is where the confusion arises.

If you decided EV(Call)=+100, then you do lose 100 by folding, but the EV of folding is not negative, it's still zero.

[/ QUOTE ]

Technically so would betting 2100 and folding for 100 more. Doesn't mean we should analyze the hand that way
Reply With Quote
  #36  
Old 11-22-2007, 02:48 PM
ImsaKidd ImsaKidd is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: CHOO CHOO
Posts: 11,074
Default Re: Strange hand vs CTS

[ QUOTE ]
how would you know what to do

[/ QUOTE ]

How would you know? Someone opened something other than AA/KK utg!!
Reply With Quote
  #37  
Old 11-22-2007, 03:06 PM
ahnuld ahnuld is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 10,945
Default Re: Strange hand vs CTS

agree with vanessa and bigt

"the only made hand beating you is a 7x"
I dont really agree. I can see CTS showing up with QQ KK sometimes here as he wont get alot of value by betting the flop with those hands. Playing it the way he did and waiting for a non 7JQ turn to push is safer and makes it harder for the guy who wanted to CR allin with JJ or AJ or a set on the flop.
Reply With Quote
  #38  
Old 11-22-2007, 03:14 PM
ahnuld ahnuld is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 10,945
Default Re: Strange hand vs CTS

and to do a calculation, giving CTS a range of QQ+, 77, 78,79, AK-ATcc, KQ-KTcc and QJs our equity is 25%. We need 36% equity to call. So id fold.
Reply With Quote
  #39  
Old 11-22-2007, 03:56 PM
mj12 mj12 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: very very handsome
Posts: 1,320
Default Re: Strange hand vs CTS

[ QUOTE ]
agree with vanessa and bigt

"the only made hand beating you is a 7x"
I dont really agree. I can see CTS showing up with QQ KK sometimes here as he wont get alot of value by betting the flop with those hands. Playing it the way he did and waiting for a non 7JQ turn to push is safer and makes it harder for the guy who wanted to CR allin with JJ or AJ or a set on the flop.

[/ QUOTE ]
I agree with this ... I Also like a check behind with qj here if I'm cole as hes getting it in vs any 2 pair/ set anyway so he doent need to protect against a turned full house, it also gives us a chance to set up/ pair/ make a dumby strt/bluff.
Reply With Quote
  #40  
Old 11-22-2007, 04:01 PM
imabigdeal imabigdeal is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Hating shortstackers
Posts: 1,008
Default Re: Strange hand vs CTS

magicninja,

don't get me wrong here. i agree with most everything you're saying. all i'm saying is that i for one am lazy and would just choose to ignore a random posting a one-liner (as eye-rolling as it might be to read them). now if there were like 50 different posts like that and it was just cluttering up the thread, that's a different story. personally, i don't play quite this high yet either, but i'm well on my way and i feel like i know enough to contribute here. i love learning and i enjoy posting in HSNL cuz it gives me an opportunity to see if great players (such as yourself) agree/disagree with me. k, /hijack, sorry for the clutter guys.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:45 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.