#11
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Re: Very interesting hand
Well let's see here...
I've been out of poker a while now, so my elite math skills might be rusty ;-) Looks like you're risking 193 to win 435, so I think you need like 31% equity to be +EV. Against a set, you have a touch under 30% equity. Against a straight you have about 13% equity. If he's pretty much always holding a set or a straight, the play is a losing play. If he's willing to do this with 2pair, you have like 45-50% equity - so the play is a winning one against 2 pair. I guess the idea is if the villain is only gonna this with a set or flopped straight, pushing is no good. If the villain is doing this with a wider range, pushing is sweet. As it turns out, this opponent was one willing to do it with a wider range, so the push is good. I'm just saying that if you know the dude is nitty, the push is actually bad here - weird as that might seem. |
#12
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Re: Very interesting hand
how is this interesting at all? it's certainly not 'very interesting'. seems very standard, though.
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#13
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Re: Very interesting hand
Board: 9h 7d 6s
Dead: equity Hand 0: 44.089% { 9s8s } Hand 1: 55.91% { 9d7c } Board: 9h 7d 6s Dead: equity Hand 0: 29.173% { 9s8s } Hand 1: 70.827% { 7h7s } |
#14
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Re: Very interesting hand
[ QUOTE ]
Well let's see here... I've been out of poker a while now, so my elite math skills might be rusty ;-) Looks like you're risking 193 to win 435, so I think you need like 31% equity to be +EV. Against a set, you have a touch under 30% equity. Against a straight you have about 13% equity. If he's pretty much always holding a set or a straight, the play is a losing play. If he's willing to do this with 2pair, you have like 45-50% equity - so the play is a winning one against 2 pair. I guess the idea is if the villain is only gonna this with a set or flopped straight, pushing is no good. If the villain is doing this with a wider range, pushing is sweet. As it turns out, this opponent was one willing to do it with a wider range, so the push is good. I'm just saying that if you know the dude is nitty, the push is actually bad here - weird as that might seem. [/ QUOTE ] interesting stuff, i havent done much with equity calculations maybe i should start.. |
#15
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Re: Very interesting hand
sb looks strong as hell
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#16
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Re: Very interesting hand
Interesting analysis Fishsticks.
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