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  #1  
Old 06-30-2007, 04:20 AM
The Iceman The Iceman is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 70
Default NL600- Turned trips facing overbet on river

I have no reads on villain, who is running at 35/23/2 after 154 hands. Help me put this guy on a hand!

Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $3/$6 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $354.70
BB: $1,111.50
UTG: $792.10
Hero (CO): $597.00
BTN: $1,484.65

Preflop: Hero is dealt J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (5 Players)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $21.00</font>, BTN calls $21.00, 2 folds

Flop: ($51) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $33.00</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $66.00</font>, Hero calls $33.00

Turn: ($183) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($183) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $510.00</font>, Hero......
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  #2  
Old 06-30-2007, 05:28 AM
Vammakala Vammakala is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Tiny salmon chasing an impossible dream
Posts: 1,699
Default Re: NL600- Turned trips facing overbet on river

That's very strong by the villain. I think Ax is the most likely, turn check behind could be scared of the flush while river push just looks like he wants to get maximum value out of Ax or flush...

I think flop minraise is either top pair, flushdraw or a set majority of the time, could be two pair also. You only beat one of these on the river unless he happens to have A6 which got lucky.

That being said, a guy of whom I have 154 hands from, I would probably have some idea on what he'd do this kind of move with based on how he has been playing earlier. Judging only from those stats, I might feel like calling and stacking AT- here, but I think in the end it's pretty read dependant...

Can't fault for folding here either..
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  #3  
Old 06-30-2007, 05:32 AM
Jinx Jinx is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 1,544
Default Re: NL600- Turned trips facing overbet on river

easy fold
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  #4  
Old 06-30-2007, 02:12 PM
duh duh is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 1,379
Default Re: NL600- Turned trips facing overbet on river

Just fold it.

He either turned a flush, or rivered a boat.
That is his entire range on this river.
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