Hindsight is 50/50

huhwhatyousay? · #1 10-25-2007, 10:18 PM

Full Tilt Poker, The Fifty-Fifty, NL Hold'em Tournament, 10/20 Blinds, 9 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

BB: 1,975
UTG: 2,105
UTG+1: 1,940
UTG+2: 1,970
MP1: 1,950
MP2: 3,980
CO: 1,970
Hero (BTN): 2,020
SB: 2,090

Pre-Flop: (30) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
5 folds, CO calls 20, Hero raises to 90, SB folds, BB calls 70, CO calls 70

Flop: (280) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
BB checks, CO checks, Hero bets 225, BB calls 225, CO calls 225

Turn: (955) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players)
BB checks, CO checks, Hero checks

River: (955) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players)
BB checks, CO bets 620, Hero requests time and ...

It's early on, so I don't have any reads other than that this is the first hand CO played in like 7 or so hands. I haven't gotten out of line either.

I'm thinking that (folding ~~> calling >>>>>>>>>>> shoving) or (calling ~~> folding >>>>>>>>>>> shoving). I don't think that BB is a liability at all with the line he took, so it all comes down to whether or not I think CO shows up with a busted draw/other worse hands like 28% or so of the time. I don't think so.

I'm also curious as to whether or not you would c-bet KJo on this board 3-way IP, whether or not you would c-bet AKo on this board 3-way IP, and if there is really any measurable improvement on an unimproved AKo's showdown value in comparison to an unimproved KJo considering that it's 3-way and the board is so wet.

benneh · #2 10-25-2007, 10:28 PM

i would call. you've underrepped your hand with the turn check and villain is betting tons of hands that you beat here.

huhwhatyousay? · #3 10-26-2007, 05:26 PM

Bump for the dinner time crowd.

ssnyc · #4 10-26-2007, 06:03 PM

raise more pre...call river