3/6 stat after 30k hands

Sidomija · #1 10-20-2007, 12:42 PM

Please review my stat. It is 2/3 blind structure. What you think about rake?

Gurravasa · #2 10-20-2007, 12:49 PM

I think you fold to much...

Apanage · #3 10-20-2007, 01:11 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I think you fold to much...

[/ QUOTE ]

Irony?

With the risk of being a parrot.
There is just a small number of players that should play these blind defence\steal stats at 3/6.
Fold more preflop.

Robin Foolz · #4 10-20-2007, 01:14 PM

38wwsf over 30k hands! my condolences.

Dente · #5 10-20-2007, 01:15 PM

Rakeback is excluded right? So all in all u still made a profit, didnt u?

Gurravasa · #6 10-20-2007, 01:28 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think you fold to much...

[/ QUOTE ]

Irony?

With the risk of being a parrot.
There is just a small number of players that should play these blind defence\steal stats at 3/6.
Fold more preflop.

[/ QUOTE ]

nope I think he folds to much postflop.

Apanage · #7 10-20-2007, 01:41 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think you fold to much...

[/ QUOTE ]

Irony?

With the risk of being a parrot.
There is just a small number of players that should play these blind defence\steal stats at 3/6.
Fold more preflop.

[/ QUOTE ]

nope I think he folds to much postflop.

[/ QUOTE ]

Isn´t a WSD of 35.82 reasonable or does that change if you play 30/20?
I don´t know.

Gurravasa · #8 10-20-2007, 02:30 PM

given his results I think OP has folded a lot of winners.

rzk · #9 10-20-2007, 02:47 PM

plenty of winning players with wtsd 35 out there. you can't make the claim that his EV will improve if he starts folding less. i don't think there's an obvious flaw in OP's stats of a magnitude that would account for his loss. most likely explanations:

1. poor run of cards. the standard deviation in the winrate after 30k hands is around 1bb/100. so it's quite possible to be a 1bb/100+ winner and still run as bad as the OP.

2. more subtle errors not reflected in the stats, like folding too much in some spots and too little in others.

while i think reason 1 is more important in explaining the results, you should definitely try to find leaks in your game by posting/reviewing hands.

Gurravasa · #10 10-20-2007, 03:17 PM

[ QUOTE ]
plenty of winning players with wtsd 35 out there. you can't make the claim that his EV will improve if he starts folding less. i don't think there's an obvious flaw in OP's stats of a magnitude that would account for his loss. most likely explanations:

1. poor run of cards. the standard deviation in the winrate after 30k hands is around 1bb/100. so it's quite possible to be a 1bb/100+ winner and still run as bad as the OP.

2. more subtle errors not reflected in the stats, like folding too much in some spots and too little in others.

while i think reason 1 is more important in explaining the results, you should definitely try to find leaks in your game by posting/reviewing hands.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm no statician and don't no anything about standard deviation but if I had this WR after 30K hands that wouldn't comfort me. I think it's more likely that OP needs to improve his game that lean back and hope that it's just a bad run.

I can't be sure that he folds to much postflop, but there is a possibility. I don't know what W@aSD figures good 35% WtSD players have but it must be at least 55% I guess? The low WtSD approach is hard since you have to make a lot of good folds to make up for one bad fold. I have 41 WtSD BTW...