|
|
#12
07-09-2007, 05:40 AM
|
|||
|
|||
Re: WSOP Prop Bet
The max attainable ROI is much more than 300%, so you should still go with names over chips. FWIW, and I know most people will disagree with this, but I think the best player in the worlds' long term ROI in this year's WSOP would be somewhere around 1200%.
I think you are a favorite if you pick well. Did I miss that dinner you were gonna setup for EDF btw? Are you still in Vegas? 
|
|
#13
07-09-2007, 07:00 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: WSOP Prop Bet
[ QUOTE ]
The max attainable ROI is much more than 300%, so you should still go with names over chips. FWIW, and I know most people will disagree with this, but I think the best player in the worlds' long term ROI in this year's WSOP would be somewhere around 1200%. I think you are a favorite if you pick well. Did I miss that dinner you were gonna setup for EDF btw? Are you still in Vegas? [/ QUOTE ] I ended up not setting it up after I left my phone/blackberry in a taxicab. I made the huge mistake of eating a Starburst and yanking a cap off of one of my teeth, which put me on total life tilt for about an hour and lost it then. I was there for six days: I don't think I saw you a single time. I would have at least introduced myself. I may show up at Foxwoods or the Borgata later this year; if so, I'll put together an EDF dinner for sure. Boy, 1200% seems high -- there are defintely some terrible players in the field that have no chance, but 12x seems like a massive overlay. But if Phil H is still in the field at the end of day one, I'm burning a pick on him.
|
|
#15
07-09-2007, 11:15 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: WSOP Prop Bet (picks, long)
First 64 picks: 21 from 1d remain. Strategy: Chips down to about 150, talent below that. Some of the chip counts overlap with talent, obviously (e.g. Alaei, admo, Cy Farzad). Yell at me, please, if you see any obvious mistakes.
Day 1a Tinten Olivier (loved the books) John Dutchak Steve Austin (nananananana) Adam Weiss (did I really do this?) Adam ("Admo") Richardson (awesome photoshops, dude) Cyrus Farzad (know him from Commerce days) Michael Turiniec Aurelio Arcano Kitai Davidi Scott Yates Julian Gardner Alex Michaels Lars Bonding Steve Jacobs (old RGP compatriot) Justin Rollo (dude, Jurollo is HOT!) Dane Lomas Andrius Tapinas Barry Freddy Bonyadi Brock (tsoprano) Parker Billy Baxter Day 1b Dag Martin Mikkelsen Jeff Banghart Albert Strickland George Dunst Lewis Pilkington John Sachs Sven Anders Johnsson Jason Welch Frank Blumlein John Duthie Scott Seiver David "Dragon" Pham Scotty Nguyen (sentimental favorite) Todd Phillips (underrated: know from commerce) Berry Johnston Cliff Josephy John Strzemp Sabyl Cohen James Van Alstyne Donn O'Dea Robert Mizrachi Neil (Bubble & Squeak) Channing Day 1c Jeff Norman Thomas Barnard Carl Olson Michael Lum Juan Fernandez Daniel Alaei Philip Hilm Cristoffer Baar Chuck Kelley Richard Weisman Frank Schram Gigabet Lee Watkinson Jim "Walterzuey" Geary Arthur Azen JC Tran Warren Karp Hasan Habib Fabrice Soulier Florian Langmann (all name-team selection) Joe Bolnick
|
|
#16
07-10-2007, 01:10 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: WSOP Prop Bet (picks, long)
How does something like this sound? I get to pick five people in each of the top, second, third and bottom 25 percentiles.
If, if one of them makes it to the final table, it would pay 10 to 1 If two or more make it to final table, it would pay 20 to 1 If one or more make it to final 3, it would pay 50 to 1 and finally, if any of one of them win, it pays 75 to 1
|
|
#19
07-14-2007, 10:14 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: WSOP Prop Bet (picks, long)
[ QUOTE ]
HT, I just hope you got Justin Sadauskas, this year's winner. [/ QUOTE ] Justin who?
|
|
#20
07-14-2007, 10:18 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: WSOP Prop Bet (picks, long)
[ QUOTE ]
Howard, 120 left, my ONE pick is in 40th w/ 1.2M+. How many of your horses left? [/ QUOTE ] Fifteen, so I'm a little above par. But I do have the chip leader at $3.7. Remaining horses: Alaei Banghart Bergren Carroll Edler Evans Gardner Hilm Karp Keikoan Kim (Kevin) Mikkelsen Nguyen Watkinson Welch edited to fix dumb comment about being at par rather than ahead of par.
|
 |
|
|
Linear Mode
