Wong Teasers, Week 12

[trixtrix]

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So in summation, your feelings are that all teasers should be done whenever you see them without regard for sharpening numbers?

Great. What a novel and +EV idea.

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uh yea.. you must've missed when i said this

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also, this where line-movement prediction becomes vital for a capper. anyone who has experience could've seen that wash+3 and caro+3 were moving in opposite directions.

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okay i'll give you this, if you're a newbie who is absolutely clueless about line movement and have absolute no opinion on the sides, then yes, it's conceivable that you can obtain a better edge by letting others sharpen the spread for you before you tease..

however, if you have confidence that you have a reasonably sound judgment in regards to line movement. then there is nothing wrong w/ teasing early and derive more ev off the rogue spreads..

using the example of teasing a +3 -130 candidate early (same as +2.5 -110) b/c it finished +3.5 as a reason for why you shouldn't tease games early, is as ridiculous as saying you shouldn't ever bet openers b/c the +3 opener you took straight up *might* have a chance to close at +3.5

in the end, it's all about how sound your judgment in regards to line movement is and not at all about whether +3 -130 is a good tease early or not.

[Thremp]

If you are this good at predicting line movements, teasers aren't the best way to take advantage of that skill. If this is the point you're getting at, I'm sorry?

[trixtrix]

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If you are this good at predicting line movements, teasers aren't the best way to take advantage of that skill. If this is the point you're getting at, I'm sorry?

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what do you gain more from, betting a team straight up at +1.5 knowing there's a 60% chance it might go to +1 and 40% chance of it staying the same or go to +2. or teasing it up 6 pts? this is elementary algebra

[Thremp]

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If you are this good at predicting line movements, teasers aren't the best way to take advantage of that skill. If this is the point you're getting at, I'm sorry?

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what do you gain more from, betting a team straight up at +1.5 knowing there's a 60% chance it might go to +1 and 40% chance of it staying the same or go to +2. or teasing it up 6 pts? this is elementary algebra

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Yawn. Priceaments?

[Jazzy3113]

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thx for sucking Eli

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[NajdorfDefense]

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nyg -1.5
jax -2.5
cin +7.5
den +7.5
SDG -2.5
RR all for 1 unit

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quick math from memory is +1.2 on 3 teamers, and +2u on 2-teamers.