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  #1  
Old 08-08-2007, 04:18 PM
abcjnich abcjnich is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 327
Default Why even bet the turn?

100nl 5 handed. Effective stacks 100bb.

I raise to 3.50 utg with AJo. MP (17/14/2.8 over 160) calls. I have been running pretty tag, at about 14/11/3.

Flop: 9 10 J rainbow. I lead for 6$, he calls.

Turn: Offsuit J. I lead for 14, MP raises to 50, essentially commiting his entire stack.

I have a good hand, but... I can't expect him to flatcall with anything worse. He's raising with all better hands, and raising with some worse hands too.

8,444,078 games 6.594 secs 1,280,569 games/sec

Board: 9c Td Jh Js
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 40.035% 31.54% 08.68% 2663551 733263.00 { AJs, AJo }
Hand 1: 59.965% 51.57% 08.68% 4354461 733263.00 { TT-99, AJs, KJs+, QJs, AJo, KJo+, QJo }


Knowing this, is there a better way to approach the turn (and maybe even the flop)?
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  #2  
Old 08-08-2007, 04:23 PM
RainbowBright RainbowBright is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 265
Default Re: Why even bet the turn?

you're range isn't quite right. since he should raise this flop with both sets and two pair.
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  #3  
Old 08-08-2007, 04:26 PM
Arito Arito is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 931
Default Re: Why even bet the turn?

I don't think so. It's just a matter of knowing your opponent's range. FWIW I think you're good here more often than you think.
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