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Old 11-27-2007, 07:59 PM
Dankenstein Dankenstein is offline
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Join Date: May 2007
Location: Valuetown
Posts: 229
Default Re: Variance is a bitch, I have to drop down, when can I go back up?

[ QUOTE ]
Kerowo and to everyone, thank you for your responses. It's much appriciated.

Dank, I don't have every hand I played listed on this PC, some losing sessions were on a friends computer that I do not have access to now. On this PC at 1/2 specifically I have over 7,000 hands listed. I would assume on the other PC's I logged about 500 hands. So about 7,500 hands total.

[/ QUOTE ]

Your sample is not that big.

This could be variance but it could also be (and more likely is) a result of leaks in your game. If you had logged like 20-30k hands as a winning player and then started having this downswing, you might be able to chalk it up to variance, but here you have nothing to suggest this being variance anymore than problems with your game. I personally think that you should move down to .25/.50 and try to grind your way back up as previously suggested. I think this will allow you to play a lot of hands at a lot less risk and help you fix your game. Focus on reviewing your sessions. post more and respond to more posts. Don't give up. Good luck.
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  #2  
Old 11-27-2007, 08:03 PM
knockonwood knockonwood is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: avoiding crown
Posts: 1,291
Default Re: Variance is a bitch, I have to drop down, when can I go back up?

IMO i reckon a lot of newer posters here should concentrate on fundamentals like counting outs, calculating odds, hand reading, reading the board, thinking about position etc than worrying about whether 300 or 1000bb's is enough to play 0.25-.50 or 0.5-1.

It seems like we have one of these threads each week.
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