25NL AA on paired board

[ship_it_trebek]

Villain running 35/6/2 over ~50 hands. Should I lead the turn here instead of the check-call line? During the hand I was wondering why he would insta-pot the turn and river with a Q which made me call the river. Basically looking for thoughts on the turn and river.

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.10/$0.25 Blinds - 8 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $31.35
Hero (BB): $25.00
UTG: $25.45
UTG+1: $2.80
MP1: $4.90
MP2: $26.05
CO: $23.90
BTN: $12.00

Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (8 Players)
3 folds, MP2 calls $0.25, 3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.25</font>, MP2 calls $1.00

Flop: ($2.60) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $1.50</font>, MP2 calls $1.50

Turn: ($5.60) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">MP2 bets $5.60</font>, Hero calls $5.60

River: ($16.80) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">MP2 bets all-in for $17.70</font>, Hero calls all-in for $16.65
Uncalled bet of $1.05 returned to MP2

Pot Size: $50.10 ($2.50 Rake)

[da_fume]

He could be potting it to protect from your possible flush or straight draws. Leading the turn is an absolute necessity in my eyes and with his borderline AF I think I can find a fold on the river as played.

[CazicT]

I would have bet slightly more on the flop to protect against diamonds or TJ. On the turn, i'd probably lead for ~3/4.

If he has a queen (probably KQ or QJ since he limp/called) we're toast, but since he just called on the flop, it is more likely he is drawing and I want to protect.

As played, his full PSB is interesting, he seems to want to protect a hand. Kinda scary, but since you bet somewhat weakly on flop and checked turn, he may have a PP and figure he is good now, or he could be bluffing figuring you are weak. So i'd call and probably check/call most river bets.

On the river the 5 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] isn't too threatening, but I like the check anyway. When he goes all-in, it really makes me think that he has it. Without a read, i'll let it go. Most villians at these levels wouldn't have the heart to do this without a queen.

[CalledDownLight]

I bet the turn and fold to a shove there. As played I think you can flip a coin on the river. Also, this guy isn't borderline aggro, he's really aggro.

[da_fume]

[ QUOTE ]
I bet the turn and fold to a shove there. As played I think you can flip a coin on the river. Also, this guy isn't borderline aggro, he's really aggro.

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I guess I consider ~1.25-2 borderline aggro because I'm used to 10NL and I see people with AF &gt; 3 very frequently. You can't put a whole lot of stock in his AF over 50 hands though anyway.

[CaptVimes]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I bet the turn and fold to a shove there. As played I think you can flip a coin on the river. Also, this guy isn't borderline aggro, he's really aggro.

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I guess I consider ~1.25-2 borderline aggro because I'm used to 10NL and I see people with AF &gt; 3 very frequently. You can't put a whole lot of stock in his AF over 50 hands though anyway.

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C-D-L do you include preflop numbers in your Tot AG or just post flop? If you include preflop numbers yeah, villian's really aggressive.