Paperchamp's NFL week 14

[paperchamp]

Starting out with a couple wong teasers. I don't think that the Titans are teasable anymore but you can substitute Washington which is at +1.5. All these lines are at Bodog. The last couple weeks I've had a hard time finding teasable games at 5dimes. Out of these 5 games, only one is teasable at 5dimes.

Two team-teaser
Pitt -7.5/-1.5
Jville +2/+8
Risk 2.2u to win 2u

Two team-teaser
SD -7.5/-1.5
Tenn +1.5/+7.5
Risk 2.2u to win 2u


NFL YTD

Straight Picks: 12-12-1 (-1.9 units)
2 Team Teasers: 13-6-1 (+13.9 units)
4 Team Teasers: 1-0 (+6 units)

[phatgtdmb]

i have the same exact teaser for SD and Tenn good luck

[MikeyObviously]

awesome wong week. pitt, sd, jac, and skins all at HOME.

at bodog play 3 and 4 team teasers...more +EV.

[paperchamp]

Added a 4 teamer...

Four team-teaser
Pitt -7.5/-1.5
Jville +2/+8
SD -7.5/-1.5
WSH +1.5/+7.5
Risk 2u to win 6u

[paperchamp]

Tennessee Titans +1 @ Houston Texans (-105)
Risk 2.1u and 2u
I live in Houston and the local media has been hyping this game up all year long and dubbed it the "Vince bowl". The Texans however have never been a team that rises to the occasion. Vince Young on the other hand, is well known for showing up huge in important games. Well, this is VY's shot to make the Texans pay for not drafting him and is also his first NFL game in his hometown of Houston. In interviews he has been saying that he wants to win this game more than anything. The Titans have been playing extremely well and are coming off two huge wins against the Giants and the Colts. The Texans offense is anemic and their defense is only slightly better.

[MikeyObviously]

considering how well the titans have played lately...doesn't that line almost look fishy to the point they know something we don't?

[paperchamp]

Yup. I thought the exact same thing. Probably a total BSP pick but I like it anyways.

[paperchamp]

Adding two plays for this week...

<u>Denver Broncos +7.5</u> @ San Diego Chargers (-110)
Risk 1.1u to win 1u
I think the Chargers will probably still win but I see it coming down to the end. The Chargers have been playing close games all year and against a tough divisional opponent, I don't see anything different happening here. I expect Jay Cutler to play a little better this game although the 3-4 defense might give him some trouble.

Indianapolis Colts @ <u>Jacksonville Jaguars +1</u> (-110)
Risk 1.1u to win 1u
The Colts have been exposed as having way too many weaknesses on defense. Their run defense is terrible and alone will likely prohibit them from making any impact this season. Jacksonville has a solid run game and a solid defense. I'm also fading the public a little on this one as I've noticed lots of sharp money on the Jags while the Colts are clearly a BSP pick this week (I learned my lesson in the Dallas game).

[silentbob]

Are the Colts still a BSP team? I've sensed a big backlash against them in the mainstream media this week.

[paperchamp]

I checked betting trends at two sites and one had 77% of bets on the Colts and the other over 90%. So, still a BSP pick I guess.