NL200 - Common overpair vs flop raise situation

[mack848]

Villain is 19/9/2, calls a CB 38% & raises a CB 23% (although it's only after 280 hands)

What's your plan?

If we assume he is a decent, winning player, what range would you put him on to raise my CB?


Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 9 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $271.10
BB: $132.60
UTG: $59.40
UTG+1: $197.60
MP1: $103.95
MP2: $191.50
MP3: $213.05
Hero (CO): $206.00
BTN: $258.60

Preflop: Hero is dealt Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (9 Players)
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls $2.00, 3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $9.00</font>, BTN calls $9.00, 2 folds, UTG+1 calls $7.00

Flop: ($30) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players)
UTG+1 checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $20.00</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $60.00</font>, Hero ??

[BT2]

this is a hard one because the flop sucks, but his post flop stats mean he could have air.
i would push if the flop were more raggity, but as it is i fold.

[mack848]

[ QUOTE ]
this is a hard one because the flop sucks, but his post flop stats mean he could have air.
i would push if the flop were more raggity, but as it is i fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

Surely the wet flop makes it more likely I am currently good and the more likely I should be to continue? Draws and air must make up a % of his range - question is, how big a %?

[BT2]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
this is a hard one because the flop sucks, but his post flop stats mean he could have air.
i would push if the flop were more raggity, but as it is i fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

Surely the wet flop makes it more likely I am currently good and the more likely I should be to continue? Draws and air must make up a % of his range - question is, how big a %?

[/ QUOTE ]

with this flop there is no chance villain has an over pair that you beat.