10 20 small pot boring

[g-p]

villian is reg, i was hoping he would fold an 8 or make a big call with a smaller pair. i dont know which is more likely but the bet seems like a good idea.

POKERSTARS GAME #9003487470: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($10/$20) - 2007/03/20 - 18:34:01 (ET)
Table 'Nicolaia II' 6-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: gp333 ($4605 in chips)
Seat 3: kerpowski ($1970 in chips)
Seat 4: snort ($508 in chips)
Seat 5: NMcNasty ($6044 in chips)
Seat 6: bigredAK ($1818 in chips)
bigredAK: posts small blind $10
gp333: posts big blind $20
schnizeltoe: sits out
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to gp333 [Td 8s]
kerpowski: raises $20 to $40
snort: folds
NMcNasty: calls $40
bigredAK: calls $30
gp333: calls $20
*** FLOP *** [6h 2s 8h]
bigredAK: checks
gp333: bets $135
kerpowski: folds
NMcNasty: calls $135
bigredAK: folds
*** TURN *** [6h 2s 8h] [2c]
gp333: checks
NMcNasty: checks
*** RIVER *** [6h 2s 8h 2c] [Ks]
gp333: bets $422

[king_of_drafts]

I hate it because sometimes he will raise you with his big flop draws that didn't get there, or have hit a king with Kxh, or just call you with a big 8. This is almost never a value bet, maybe if he has 89 or 78 I suppose.

[Big_Jim]

I like this, given your image.

It's a pure value bet, though.

The more likely he is to play J8, Q8, K8, the less I like it, but I don't think most players have these hands, hardly ever.

if he's agro, a c/c could be good, too

[BobboFitos]

i likr c/c here, bet woudl be better with a8
you are looking for like 6x or 77 to call... 8x splits aside from a8 which wins..

[Big_Jim]

[ QUOTE ]
8x splits aside from a8 which wins..

[/ QUOTE ]
oh yeah, [censored]

[king_of_drafts]

[ QUOTE ]
i likr c/c here, bet woudl be better with a8
you are looking for like 6x or 77 to call... 8x splits aside from a8 which wins..

[/ QUOTE ]

Oh haha, missed the paired board...wow is it ever dry, I don't think he's calling without a split/better hand more than 5 or 10% of the time.

[Big_Jim]

If the turn was a 3c, I really like this bet.

[g-p]

seems like the 2 is better because he might fold a split, and if he never folds a split, then he probably calls with lower pairs because he wont expect me to bet an 8 here, he'll think i'll have something good or air

/run-on

[aislephive]

I like this, but c/c might be better. With A8 this would be hot since you beat any other 8 instead of splitting.

Do you intend to call a raise?

[Big_Jim]

[ QUOTE ]
seems like the 2 is better because he might fold a split, and if he never folds a split, then he probably calls with lower pairs because he wont expect me to bet an 8 here, he'll think i'll have something good or air

/run-on

[/ QUOTE ]
I think he pretty rarely has something good. Nobody slowplays anymore.

I think the 3 is better because he can call with more worse hands.

P(78,89,8T) >> P(J8,Q8,K8,A8), because of PF, IMO