100nl qq turn decision

[btoowhai]

Villain is 17/7/3 after 100 hands.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (9 handed) Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG ($170.75)
Hero ($100)
MP1 ($105.95)
MP2 ($65.70)
MP3 ($123.85)
CO ($88)
Button ($189.30)
SB ($296.90)
BB ($82.50)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG calls $1, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $4.5</font>, <font color="#666666">7 folds</font>, UTG calls $3.50.

Flop: ($10.50) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $10</font>, UTG calls $10.

Turn: ($30.50) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $30.5</font>, Hero?

[pattay]

this smells like a set, with the limp/call pre. however sometimes i call and try to get a cheap river out of it. meh, just fold, theres also a chance hes playing aces or kings like futile war

[AceHigh]

[ QUOTE ]
meh, just fold, theres also a chance hes playing aces or kings like futile war

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree...fold is likely best.

[SunyD]

Why dont we give credit to villain turning a flush here? I see this line all the time.. getting check/called out of position, and bet into when the flush card comes. Is this line primarily flushes or bluffs?

Btw.. I think this is a fold too. Just curious about the flush, considering some replies said sets or overpairs.

[pattay]

def could be a flush, i just assumed set because of the way he played it. IMO, a limp/call preflop in early position means a low to mid pocket pair A LOT, and this board is full of cards in his set range