A9o - value check ugly turn?

[sethypooh21]

Villain is 48/10/1.5 who will bet like 75% of the rivers if I check turn. Is turn B/f? Should I even call river?

PokerStars 5/10 Hold'em (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB calls.

Flop: (4.40 SB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls.

Turn: (3.20 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, Hero checks.

River: (3.20 BB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 5.20 BB

[Ineedaride2]

I don't see any reason not to bet the turn, and I'd never fold the river.

[jba]

you got to bet just to try to fold out his cheese that has 8 outs to chop. there's a ton of value in a bet also.

[BrassMonkey]

I always play it like you do, Seth, because I HATE getting bluff-raised by people, and because people love to bluff the river. I guess it's not good, but it's the most comfortable line for me, by a mile.

[joeyb]

and the turn gets folded if we are raised if we bet?

[BrassMonkey]

[ QUOTE ]
and the turn gets folded if we are raised if we bet?

[/ QUOTE ]

Absolutely.

[LeadbellyDan]

I tend to play these like this as well just because we're gonna get check raised a whole lot when we bet the turn and thats really annoying.

Unless u have a good read on him that he wont bluff raise the turn I think your line in best because we lose the same when we're behind, win the same when we're ahead and we guarantee a showdown.

[jt1]

Surprisingly, for me, a bet is best here. I never factor in the 8 outs to chop but after doing so the math indicates that villain would be getting 2-1 and the pot is laying 3-1(on average...aproximately). So even if Villain is betting the river, he isn't loosing money. Of course, if Villain is very aggro than that changes things but those stats don't indicate that.