My (admittedly stupid) Jason Campbell bet

[MikeyPatriot]

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So does anyone feel like telling me about KUBIAK? Specifically, how I can access it and why it likes Campbell, or what it says about him? Thanks much.

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Go to footballoutsiders.com and search the site. You should be going to FO anyway if you like football and you're on 2p2.

[EHoffman]

No way he gets benched before 2010. Maybe halfway through 2010, but even Ramsey had a few years as the starter.

[xorbie]

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So does anyone feel like telling me about KUBIAK? Specifically, how I can access it and why it likes Campbell, or what it says about him? Thanks much.

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Go to footballoutsiders.com and search the site. You should be going to FO anyway if you like football and you're on 2p2.

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No need to go to FO, 2+2 brings it to me [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[VarlosZ]

I'm pretty sure there are no KUBIAK projections on the site, except those that are mentioned in passing. You have to buy the book for the full set.

Also in the book: their college QB projection system, which is actually what Tyler should be interested in (KUBIAK is mostly for fantasy football purposes, and only forecasts one year at a time). Before the season, the projection system predicted that Campbell would accrue 59.4 DPAR in 2007, and about 84.2 DPAR/year during his peak. Look here to put that into context. Basically, they expect him to be a Top 10 type of QB: good, and very good during his peak, but never elite.

[kyleb]

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Heh, no, not actually Gary Kubiak. KUBIAK is the projection system that Football Outsiders uses; they're a relatively new football performance analysis website.

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Well it is, obviously, named after Gary Kubiak. I don't think it doubles as an acronym like PECOTA.

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Obviously, but I'm not too sure that the actual Gary Kubiak has gone on record as saying he likes Jason Campbell.

[Vyse]

It does double as an acronym.

[gusmahler]

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This bet is sweet.

Basically you get a free jersey, if you lose you get to wear a Vick or Pacman jersey, both are also sweet and get lots of cool reactions.

I say you win way over 50% of the time plus if you win you get alot more than what you risk if you lose. Free Jersey > wearing a dumb jersey.

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Thanks, it seems like a fun bet to me as well. But my buddy is not allowed to choose a Pacman Jones/O.J. Simpson/Mike Vick jersey.

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It's so ridiculous that Pacman Jones(who is just an [censored]) somehow managed to get grouped in with someone who drowns dogs and someone who killed two people.

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I don't want to hijack my own thread but....it's not ridiculous.

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Yeah. Some people would say that beating up strippers and shooting people is worse than killing dogs.

[Jack of Arcades]

Good bet, Campbell is better.

[danvh]

I like your side. Not a skins fan, but I live in Northern Virginia, so I have probably seen everyone one of Campbell's games. I like him a lot more then Eli and once the Skins either get new playcallers (esp in Red Zone) or they just let him open up, I think Campbell is going to be a very good, consistent QB.

Note. If Gibbs leaves after this year and the Skins start to rotate Coaches and Coordinators on the whims of Snyder again, you might be in trouble..

[Vyse]

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Yeah. Some people would say that beating up strippers and shooting people is worse than killing dogs.

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Oh, I didn't know he was convicted yet.