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| View Poll Results: Were you going to pay the $10 for live stats on Yahoo? | |||
| Yes, what fun is it without live stats? |
   
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18 | 66.67% |
| No, I'll just check in Monday and see if I won or lost |
  
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7 | 25.93% |
| I'm not sure. |
  
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2 | 7.41% |
| Just show me the results / I'm not in the league |
  
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0 | 0% |
| Voters: 27. You may not vote on this poll | |||
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#2191
08-14-2007, 12:30 PM
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Re: ~~~ OFFICIAL YANKEES 2007 WORLD SERIES CHAMPIONS OR BUST THREAD ~~
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] <font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre> W L % ExpW ExpL Div-Chance WC-Chance PS-Chance 2007/Aug 14:Yankees 67 51 .596 92.3 69.7 12.81823 64.37395 77.19218 </pre><hr /> oh yeah, and the yankees still have the best pythag record in the majors [/ QUOTE ] not when you factor in strength of schedule. [/ QUOTE ] their schedule isn't that hard if the tigers play like they have been the past month [/ QUOTE ] That is totally irrelevant to sublime's point. I'm not quite sure if I agree that SOS is that large of a factor with the Pythag though. [/ QUOTE ] Before you pwn me, I stand corrected. I'm still not too familiar with 3rd-order Win% but I did read up on it a couple days ago so I understand where you're going. 
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#2192
08-14-2007, 12:49 PM
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Re: ~~~ OFFICIAL YANKEES 2007 WORLD SERIES CHAMPIONS OR BUST THREAD ~~
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] <font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre> W L % ExpW ExpL Div-Chance WC-Chance PS-Chance 2007/Aug 14:Yankees 67 51 .596 92.3 69.7 12.81823 64.37395 77.19218 </pre><hr /> oh yeah, and the yankees still have the best pythag record in the majors [/ QUOTE ] not when you factor in strength of schedule. [/ QUOTE ] their schedule isn't that hard if the tigers play like they have been the past month [/ QUOTE ] schedule they have ALREADY played.
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#2193
08-14-2007, 01:28 PM
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Re: ~~~ OFFICIAL YANKEES 2007 WORLD SERIES CHAMPIONS OR BUST THREAD ~~
ya i said that... and said my bad... couldn't leave it at that?
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#2194
08-14-2007, 02:35 PM
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Re: ~~~ OFFICIAL YANKEES 2007 WORLD SERIES CHAMPIONS OR BUST THREAD ~~
After adjusting for SoS, the Tigers and Indians have a worst third order record than the Blue Jays. I don't think I'll spend many restless nights.
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#2195
08-14-2007, 02:37 PM
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Re: ~~~ OFFICIAL YANKEES 2007 WORLD SERIES CHAMPIONS OR BUST THREAD ~~
[ QUOTE ]
After adjusting for SoS, the Tigers and Indians have a worst third order record than the Blue Jays. I don't think I'll spend many restless nights. [/ QUOTE ] And then there are the D-Backs, who seem quite content to defy all stats. They have the worst 3rd order record in their division, and yet they're leading it.
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#2196
08-14-2007, 02:42 PM
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Re: ~~~ OFFICIAL YANKEES 2007 WORLD SERIES CHAMPIONS OR BUST THREAD ~~
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] After adjusting for SoS, the Tigers and Indians have a worst third order record than the Blue Jays. I don't think I'll spend many restless nights. [/ QUOTE ] And then there are the D-Backs, who seem quite content to defy all stats. They have the worst 3rd order record in their division, and yet they're leading it. [/ QUOTE ] Wagers on their record going forward?
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#2197
08-14-2007, 02:49 PM
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Re: ~~~ OFFICIAL YANKEES 2007 WORLD SERIES CHAMPIONS OR BUST THREAD ~~
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] After adjusting for SoS, the Tigers and Indians have a worst third order record than the Blue Jays. I don't think I'll spend many restless nights. [/ QUOTE ] And then there are the D-Backs, who seem quite content to defy all stats. They have the worst 3rd order record in their division, and yet they're leading it. [/ QUOTE ] Wagers on their record going forward? [/ QUOTE ] god some people are stupid - kyro was simply pointing something out, not claiming the arizona diamondbacks have a magical ability to avoid the long run.
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#2199
08-14-2007, 03:06 PM
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Re: ~~~ OFFICIAL YANKEES 2007 WORLD SERIES CHAMPIONS OR BUST THREAD ~~
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] After adjusting for SoS, the Tigers and Indians have a worst third order record than the Blue Jays. I don't think I'll spend many restless nights. [/ QUOTE ] And then there are the D-Backs, who seem quite content to defy all stats. They have the worst 3rd order record in their division, and yet they're leading it. [/ QUOTE ] Wagers on their record going forward? [/ QUOTE ] No, because I'm pretty sure whatever you offered me would give you a decent-sized edge. I'm not completey naive. Also, triumph's right. I was just making an observation that was pertinent to the conversation. I know absolutely nothing about Arizona outside of the statistics I just read off of BP saying that they have the worst 3rd order record in the west.
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#2200
08-14-2007, 03:31 PM
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Re: ~~~ OFFICIAL YANKEES 2007 WORLD SERIES CHAMPIONS OR BUST THREAD ~~
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] <font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre> W L % ExpW ExpL Div-Chance WC-Chance PS-Chance 2007/Aug 14:Yankees 67 51 .596 92.3 69.7 12.81823 64.37395 77.19218 </pre><hr /> oh yeah, and the yankees still have the best pythag record in the majors [/ QUOTE ] not when you factor in strength of schedule. [/ QUOTE ] their schedule isn't that hard if the tigers play like they have been the past month [/ QUOTE ] schedule they have ALREADY played. [/ QUOTE ] can you quickly edumacate me on this. the numbers are from BP. i believe the win pct is 3rd-order, and expected w/l and PS chances are based on pecota. why doesn't this include SoS? shouldn't 3rd-order wins be based on the quality of games played? and shouldn't pecota simulations play over the remaining schedule?
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