Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > Other Poker > Heads Up Poker
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-28-2007, 11:21 AM
jay_shark jay_shark is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 2,277
Default Re: HU SNG Win Rate\'s

Using the marginal of error formula , we can say the following :

Solving for 1/(M.O.E)^2 = N , where N is the total number of games played .

In this case , you've played 155 games with a sample win-rate of 70.97% . So at two standard deviations from the mean(or with 95% confidence) , you're true win rate is M.O.E=sqrt(1/155)
and so your margin of error is 8.03% . So with 95% confidence we can say that your win-rate is in between [70.97%-8.03%,70.97% + 8.03%] or [62.94%,79%]
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-28-2007, 01:13 PM
MxGucci MxGucci is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Toronto (PokerStars)
Posts: 75
Default Re: HU SNG Win Rate\'s

Thank you Jay for taking the time to do that calculation for me. I love your formula though! Great stuff.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-28-2007, 02:41 PM
daveT daveT is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: disproving SAGE
Posts: 2,458
Default Re: HU SNG Win Rate\'s

You are an excellent player. You shouldn't worry too much about win rates, IMO. It is not like you are skating on the edge of a cliff.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11-28-2007, 05:28 PM
asg asg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 52
Default Re: HU SNG Win Rate\'s

70.97% is INSANELY good.

Does sharkscope check your winrate? (if so, where? i want to check mine!)

PS: have you been getting my PMs? You haven't been on AIM at all recently [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 11-29-2007, 12:09 PM
devin mac devin mac is offline
Member
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 32
Default Re: HU SNG Win Rate\'s

honestly, i agree with some of what's been said above. you're probably playing a very solid game. keep doing that and don't worry about your winrate. play solid and make good moves, and the winrate will follow.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 10:59 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.