WTSD % question

AJackson · #1 03-30-2006, 02:26 AM

After a nice win rate for my first 100K hands, I've hit a down swing for my last 20K. At one point I took a down swing of 460BB.

The only thing I've changed is my VP$IP which I've moved up to 25.5% over the past 20K hands. I was at 23% before.

Overall I'm pleased with my play and while there are always missed bets or bets not saved, I can tell I'm mostly just running bad.

But I do have a question with my WTSD %. Previously it was ~35%, now it is 36.8%. Seems logical to me that my WTSD% should move up with a higher VP$IP. Is my thinking correct? Is 36.8 where I should be with a 25.5 VP$IP?

Dan BRIGHT · #2 03-30-2006, 02:28 AM

There is no "where you should be"
However there is still a "wow thats way off"

You arent way off. You are probably just running bad. It happens to everyone. Limit holdem is a variance train, get on, hold on, and pray

Bond18 · #3 03-30-2006, 02:33 AM

Your WTSD in relation VPIP swings are pretty minor here. 2% in both cases is pretty negligable.

wackjob · #4 03-30-2006, 03:20 AM

value bluff 3-bet the river more, it will help this stat!