Help me make a line: NE wins vs. Rest of Division wins.

DannyOcean_ · #1 10-29-2007, 01:16 AM

I'm thinking about Pats -3?

Also, what would your line be for a Patriots team vs. all-stars for the AFC East? It's insane how good they look and how bad the rest of the division is.

lvalntin99 · #2 10-29-2007, 01:23 AM

This is a good question. I think you'd have to make that line higher. Right now, the rest of the AFC East is a combined 3-17 with 28 games to go; they play each other four more times (two Bills-Jets games, one Jets-Dolphins game, one Bills-Jets game), so their lowest possible win total can be seven. I don't see the Bills and Jets finishing with more than five wins, and I can't imagine any scenario in which the Dolphins win more than three games. If anything, I could see the three of them combining for something in the 10-11 range. So you'd have to open the line at "Pats by 3.5," and there's a good chance it would get wagered up to "Pats by four" within a few hours. I want to come back in my next life as a bookie.
Cool, another line I get to make up! Let's assume this game happens in Hawaii one week after the Super Bowl, and the AFC East All-Stars get to start practicing together from the moment the regular season ends. They'd have Chad Pennington at QB, Marshawn Lynch at RB, Laveranues Coles, Jericho Cotchery and Lee Evans as the receivers, Roscoe Parrish and Leon Washington as kick returners, Dick Jauron as the head coach, Cam Cameron running the offense, Eric Mangini running the defense and some legitimately good guys on the defensive front seven (including Jason Taylor and Aaron Schobel). Still, I'd have the Pats favored by nine ... and I'd be laying the points.

DannyOcean_ · #3 10-29-2007, 01:33 AM

yeah so i blantantly stole this question from a well known columnist... clever work dood.

but said columnist is also an idiot at gambling who got beat by his wife picking games last year. wanted to know what the sports betting forum thinks.

MCS · #4 10-29-2007, 10:40 AM

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yeah so i blantantly stole this question from a well known columnist...

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For those who don't know, Bill Simmons on ESPN.com. I haven't done a lot of work on it, but I think Pats -4 would be reasonable.

LogistX · #5 10-29-2007, 05:45 PM

I would be willing to take AFC East (except Pats) +4. Any bankers?

DannyOcean_ · #6 10-29-2007, 06:11 PM

Bill Simmons: inspiring retarded yet awesome prop bets since whenever he started writing.