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  #21  
Old 08-29-2007, 04:14 PM
yourface yourface is offline
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Default Re: Sort of crappy river

I just thought that he might have A9 too. unlikely, but maybe

messing around with stove;
if villain will only bet tp+, A9 (6 combos), and 99 on the river we have a very profitable c/c, 52% eq
edit: if he bets AJ too we are much better off

if he will call with a hand >= AJ, we have 38% eq
if he calls with 99 too we have 54% eq

not sure how useful that is
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  #22  
Old 08-29-2007, 04:17 PM
NinaWilliams NinaWilliams is offline
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Default Re: Sort of crappy river

[ QUOTE ]
sharpie nobody bluffs with a pair ever

[/ QUOTE ]

I have a bunch of examples that contradict this.
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  #23  
Old 08-29-2007, 04:17 PM
sharpie sharpie is offline
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Default Re: Sort of crappy river

What about 99 that realizes it's his only way to win? Also A9s looks like it could be in his range.

I mean he should expect me never to fold here after the strength I've shown, but he is spastic.

Personally I also think the uncertainty factor could cause me to play worse in future hands.
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  #24  
Old 08-29-2007, 04:23 PM
Leader Leader is offline
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Default Re: Sort of crappy river

[ QUOTE ]
he is spastic.

[/ QUOTE ]

Are you drawing this conclusion from more then 28 hands of stats? If not then we should assume he's an unknown who just knows where the raise button is for now.

I think I would b/f here on my good days too.
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