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  #31  
Old 09-04-2007, 02:23 PM
jfish jfish is offline
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Default Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?

assuming 38% of his bluffing range is correct (i might still be doing it wrong), this seems like a very easy call, no?
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  #32  
Old 09-04-2007, 02:50 PM
Josh. Josh. is offline
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Default Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?

i usually just give 3x pot bets like this the benefit of the doubt but this is just too taylor-made for him since op can't possibly be too big and a normal bet is asking to get called. plus EVERYTHING bricked off. i look him up
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  #33  
Old 09-04-2007, 07:15 PM
notmybeer notmybeer is offline
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Default Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?

Fold. You were clearly worried or why else keep the pot so small?

Isn't this a bluff less than 42% of the time? My "FU 2" calls in this spot with AA invariably lose. I agree that our hand is completely disguised by the passive play (which I'm not to keen on BTW), but I still don't like villain's shove. What are we folding for $570 that we wouldn't fold for $350?

I think 78 and QQ need to be added to the list of legitimate hands here. If we add these hands and remove the Ad hands from the bluffs, the numbers don't look very good anymore.
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  #34  
Old 09-04-2007, 08:21 PM
RiverHebrew2 RiverHebrew2 is offline
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Default Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?

polayed ok becuz u dont wunna get shoved on the flop after raising... I'm pretty sure I fold I think he donked a set here or flopped striaght or somethin... no reason to risk it all w/ AA... and he knowsx u have overpair or somethin
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  #35  
Old 09-04-2007, 09:11 PM
Etats360 Etats360 is offline
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Default Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?

[ QUOTE ]
fold - that flop absolutely nailed his range

[/ QUOTE ]
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  #36  
Old 09-04-2007, 09:15 PM
Better Than U Better Than U is offline
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Default Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?

folding here is so exploidable. call.
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  #37  
Old 09-04-2007, 10:04 PM
Rotating Rabbit Rotating Rabbit is offline
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Default Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?

im folding because from villians pov his overbet bluff would have to get you to fold the best hand more than 72% of the time to be profitable. Given that he knows his range looks polarised to us, making all our one pair hands the same, it seems unlikely that he can expect us to call less than 28% of the time, especially when perhaps 10% or more of our range is 7x.
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  #38  
Old 09-04-2007, 10:06 PM
jono jono is offline
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Default Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?

on 2nd thought [censored] him I call
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