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#1
11-07-2007, 01:34 AM
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Satty question...fold?
I might as well learn WHY my donk moves are donk moves. 29 left with 17 FTOPS avatar packages to be passed around. Doubt it matters but I was moved to this table recently and no stellar reads on this guy:
Full Tilt Poker Game #4094002860: FTOPS Avatar Race (30642178), Table 13 - 400/800 Ante 100 - No Limit Hold'em - 0:23:54 ET - 2007/11/07 Seat 1: Awful Fish (16,866) Seat 2: MuffBox (10,808) Seat 3: tvcsa (27,592) Seat 4: tedsfishfry (37,623) Seat 5: Deanis24 (4,419) Seat 6: Malac21 (9,478) Seat 8: lyerly (11,347) Seat 9: igorche (14,906) Awful Fish antes 100 MuffBox antes 100 tvcsa antes 100 tedsfishfry antes 100 Deanis24 antes 100 Malac21 antes 100 lyerly antes 100 igorche antes 100 Malac21 posts the small blind of 400 lyerly posts the big blind of 800 The button is in seat #5 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to lyerly [Ad Jd] igorche folds Awful Fish has 15 seconds left to act Awful Fish folds MuffBox folds tvcsa folds tedsfishfry folds Deanis24 folds Malac21 raises to 8,000 lyerly raises to 11,247, and is all in Malac21 calls 1,378, and is all in lyerly shows [Ad Jd] Malac21 shows [6d 6c] Uncalled bet of 1,869 returned to lyerly *** FLOP *** [Qd 6h Td] *** TURN *** [Qd 6h Td] [8c] *** RIVER *** [Qd 6h Td 8c] [3h] lyerly shows Ace Queen high Malac21 shows three of a kind, Sixes Malac21 wins the pot (19,556) with three of a kind, Sixes *** SUMMARY *** Total pot 19,556 | Rake 0 Board: [Qd 6h Td 8c 3h] Seat 1: Awful Fish folded before the Flop Seat 2: MuffBox folded before the Flop Seat 3: tvcsa folded before the Flop Seat 4: tedsfishfry folded before the Flop Seat 5: Deanis24 (button) folded before the Flop Seat 6: Malac21 (small blind) showed [6d 6c] and won (19,556) with three of a kind, Sixes Seat 8: lyerly (big blind) showed [Ad Jd] and lost with Ace Queen high Seat 9: igorche folded before the Flop 
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#2
11-07-2007, 01:53 AM
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Re: Satty question...fold?
I don't see anything wrong with this play. The majority of the time a raise this big means exactly what he has... a spp-mpp. Looks like you needed to double up anyway since you're a table shorty. According to Bond's post earlier today... this is a call. +EV
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#3
11-07-2007, 11:34 AM
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Re: Satty question...fold?
You are flipping vs his range. But you can shove so nicely into the similar sized stacks to your left the following hands. I see your chances to make it to the top 17 greater than 55% (or whatever you are vs his range).
Calling here is probably +cEV and -$EV
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#4
11-07-2007, 11:46 AM
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Re: Satty question...fold?
What is the chip average / median here? Very important.
Barry
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#5
11-07-2007, 11:49 AM
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Re: Satty question...fold?
[ QUOTE ]
What is the chip average / median here? Very important. Barry [/ QUOTE ] Yeah, it would be helpful to know. I'm inclined to let this pass, although if he's pushing ATC you're solidly ahead of his range. I just hate calling my chips off at the end of a satellite since your FE in these is astronomical. For that reason I'd probably fold.
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#6
11-07-2007, 12:01 PM
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Re: Satty question...fold?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] What is the chip average / median here? Very important. Barry [/ QUOTE ] Yeah, it would be helpful to know. I'm inclined to let this pass, although if he's pushing ATC you're solidly ahead of his range. I just hate calling my chips off at the end of a satellite since your FE in these is astronomical. For that reason I'd probably fold. [/ QUOTE ] These sum it up for me. I think this is a fold.
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