200NL - QQ On Double Paired Board

[The Eureka Kid]

<font color="green"> Villain is 28/3/1 over 86 and seems like your typical calling station. I find it tough to find a fold in these spots, but I really don't feel like he's taking this line with JJ-77 here.</font>

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (9 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

<font color="#C00000">MP2 ($217.90)</font>
MP3 ($132.25)
<font color="#C00000">Hero ($332.35)</font>
Button ($170.05)
SB ($359.20)
BB ($200)
UTG ($405.15)
UTG+1 ($200)
MP1 ($50.95)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP2 calls $2, MP3 calls $2, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $12</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP2 calls $10, MP3 folds.

Flop: ($29) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
MP2 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $20</font>, MP2 calls $20.

Turn: ($69) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
MP2 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $42</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises to $84</font>, Hero ???

[Albert Moulton]

Folding QQ when a loose passive player check/calls then check/min-raises on a double paired board is probably fine. He probably has a 6, like 67s, only because this "Baluga theorem" line usually is a big hand more often than draw, especially coming from a loose passive player.

This "fold is OK" advice isn't general, however. It's only based on the your read and stats on villain over 86 hands. That isn't much history, but it's all you have.

I will often check behind on the turn despite the two diamonds and call a river bet, even if a diamond hits, to maintain pot control and induce a bluff on the river.