#1
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25NL: KQ flush draw - call or shove vs raise?
Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.10/$0.25 Blinds - 8 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)
Hero (SB): $26.85 BB: $15.00 UTG: $20.65 UTG+1: $9.40 MP1: $18.65 MP2: $14.50 CO: $18.70 BTN: $7.95 Preflop: Hero is dealt Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (8 Players) <font color="red">UTG raises to $0.50</font>, 5 folds, Hero calls $0.40, BB calls $0.25 Flop: ($1.50) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $1.25</font>, <font color="red">BB raises to $3.00</font>, UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises all-in to $26.35</font> (effectively 14.50) |
#2
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Re: 25NL: KQ flush draw - call or shove vs raise?
Any reads at all?
Personally i prefer a call and evaluate line on the flop, but i dont hate shoving there due to his small stack size - his raise can be just about anything, he might have you as a good size dog with two pair, he might even have the made straight, but id expect to see T9+ a lot of the time. Ive stoved his range as TT,88-77,ATs-A9s,KTs-K9s,QTs-Q9s,J9s+,T8s+,ATo-A9o,KTo-K9o,QTo-Q9o,J9o+,T9o If that is accurate your a 51% favourite. If you cut a lot of the crap out and assign a TT,88-77,ATs,KTs,QTs,JTs,ATo,KTo,QTo,JTo type range your equity cuts to 46% Either way, his range has to be as tight as a nun to make it a fold so shoving against just about any reasonable range he can have is good due to the dead money in the pot at the time. |
#3
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Re: 25NL: KQ flush draw - call or shove vs raise?
Heh, he had T7o. But I like your analysis and appreciate you taking the time to stove it. No reads.
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#4
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Re: 25NL: KQ flush draw - call or shove vs raise?
Didnt expect his range to be that wide, lol. Assuming his hand selection post flop is as awesome as preflop youre miles ahead of a range he makes a raise like that with.
No problemo stoving it, i need the practice and it only takes a couple min [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img] Btw, i hope you hit. Please let it be runner runner straight for bonus points [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img] |
#5
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Re: 25NL: KQ flush draw - call or shove vs raise?
the turn and river both fired blanks, unfortunately
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#6
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Re: 25NL: KQ flush draw - call or shove vs raise?
meh, you only lost $.48 on average by pushing this against T7o. Against his range this is a clear push though. If you have the 46% equity which was the low side in Phills post you make $2.45 by pushing. I think his range is closer to the 51% range he posted as well so the play is def. +ev.
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#7
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Re: 25NL: KQ flush draw - call or shove vs raise?
wtf
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#8
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Re: 25NL: KQ flush draw - call or shove vs raise?
Anyone here for leading with a check with the intention of check raising if someone behind pulls the trigger? If it goes check check behind we are happy to get the free card right?
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