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  #31  
Old 09-28-2007, 02:22 PM
JEFF or DAD JEFF or DAD is offline
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Default Re: guess aejones hand win

[ QUOTE ]
He's got 35% equity versus a reasonable calling range so an EV of about -700 when called. Pot is 1920 so if hero folds more than 27% the shove is +EV.

[/ QUOTE ]

yea im totally raise/folding here a TON
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  #32  
Old 09-28-2007, 03:58 PM
DJ Sensei DJ Sensei is offline
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Default Re: guess aejones hand win

lol, its great when he defends it to the death
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  #33  
Old 09-28-2007, 04:00 PM
jaybizzle jaybizzle is offline
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Location: 19 callers on an 18 person table.
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Default Re: guess aejones hand win

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]


[/ QUOTE ]

hahahaha is that seriously him? we need to raise a shave your head fund

[/ QUOTE ]

What are you talking about?!? Hes like Samson, without the hair he wouldn't have his merged range.
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  #34  
Old 09-28-2007, 04:25 PM
Melchiades Melchiades is offline
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Default Re: guess aejones hand win

[ QUOTE ]
He's got 35% equity versus a reasonable calling range so an EV of about -700 when called. Pot is 1920 so if hero folds more than 27% the shove is +EV.

[/ QUOTE ]
No way in hell is hero raise folding 27% of the time. Push seems not great to me.
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  #35  
Old 09-28-2007, 04:27 PM
g-p g-p is offline
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Default Re: guess aejones hand win

push is fine here, what if the other guy had T9dd ??it would be awesome
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  #36  
Old 09-28-2007, 05:06 PM
Ship Ship McGipp Ship Ship McGipp is offline
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Default Re: guess aejones hand win

there's nothing to defend to the death, i think a push is fine here

and i don't think we'll play many times in the same games together, but i'll say i think your line is pretty bad. but that could be style preference.
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  #37  
Old 09-28-2007, 05:08 PM
pp262 pp262 is offline
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Default Re: guess aejones hand win

I don't know how OP plays but I also doubt he raise-folds more than 27% here.

This is the range I used:


Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

34,650 games 0.005 secs 6,930,000 games/sec

Board: 4d 3d 2s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 35.522% 35.22% 00.30% 12205 103.50 { Jd7d }
Hand 1: 64.478% 64.18% 00.30% 22238 103.50 { AcAs, AdAh, AdAs, KcKd, KdKs, KhKs, 55-22, AdQd, AdTd, A5s, 8d6d, 7d6d, 7d5d, 65s, 54s }
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  #38  
Old 09-28-2007, 05:32 PM
Triumph36 Triumph36 is offline
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Default Re: guess aejones hand win

folding draws is really hard
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  #39  
Old 09-28-2007, 05:33 PM
aislephive aislephive is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2005
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Default Re: guess aejones hand win

[ QUOTE ]
LOL @ my play being anything but fine / standard. also, lol @ the ranges of him having a set or AA, haha.

[/ QUOTE ]

lol @ you defending your shove, it's obviously -EV. It's even funnier that not only defend your own play, but you find a way criticize JOD's play in this hand in the process. The updated aejones theorem: aejones has never and will never play a hand in an -EV manner.

It's ok, you can occasionally play a hand bad, it's not the end of the world.. relax.
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  #40  
Old 09-28-2007, 05:43 PM
TxRedMan TxRedMan is offline
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Default Re: guess aejones hand win

lol @ this hand. it's just hilarious. not criticizing anyones play, but "i gotz a draw lolz i bet!" "lolz he bet i gotz pair and draw i raise" "lolz arrrrin" "lolz snap-call gimme a seven baby!"

"lolz"
"lolz"
"nh"
"bbv"
"lolz"
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