Whizzy's Blind Picks

[WackityWhiz]

***warning: i'm an idiot*** ***please don't read***

I just want a place to track the progress of my betting blind system (basically i just woke up today and decided to play some MLB and I have no idea what's going on this year... i haven't followed it at all)

I'm just taking sportsbook.com's betting trend and betting on all the HOME teams that a majority of people are betting against.

for example, it says that 95% of the bettors are on Oakland... that is overwhelming. Usually when I make plays that I study, I would be on the Oakland side. But for this new system I'm going to be on the 'stros.

basically a lazy system that I hope is at least break-even so I can have some action this summer and not lose my ass.

oh, and i'm too lazy to type out my picks, so I will just copy/paste my pending wagers.

Bankroll to start the week: 630

Bankroll to start today: 630

Total action on today's plays: 243.88

% of bankroll bet today: 38.7

Record: 0-0

Units: +/- 0

I hope this system comes out a winner right away, a lot of games fit.

Sidenote #1: I think I'm going to avoid any plays that are over -150 for the home team.

8) BET ID=213396093
Straight Wager 06/13/07 10:50 ET
16.22/30.01 Result: Pending
Padres(SanDiego) (Peavy)
DevilRays(TampaBay) (Jackson) 06/13/07 (19:10 ET)
DevilRays(TampaBay) +185


1) BET ID=213394837
Straight Wager 06/13/07 10:08 ET
35.40/30.00 Result: Pending
Braves(Atlanta) (James)
Twins(Minnesota) (Silva) 06/13/07 (20:10 ET)
Twins(Minnesota) -118

2) BET ID=213394800
Straight Wager 06/13/07 10:07 ET
31.80/30.00 Result: Pending
Athletics(Oakland) (Blanton)
Astros(Houston) (Sampson) 06/13/07 (20:05 ET)
Astros(Houston) -106

3) BET ID=213394789
Straight Wager 06/13/07 10:06 ET
30.90/30.00 Result: Pending
Cardinals(StLouis) (Wainwright)
Royals(KansasCity) (Perez) 06/13/07 (20:05 ET)
Royals(KansasCity) -103

4) BET ID=213394776
Straight Wager 06/13/07 10:05 ET
19.61/30.00 Result: Pending
Angels(Anaheim) (Lackey)
Reds(Cincinnati) (Lohse) 06/13/07 (19:10 ET)
Reds(Cincinnati) +153

5) BET ID=213394750
Straight Wager 06/13/07 10:04 ET
26.55/30.00 Result: Pending
Indians(Cleveland) (Lee)
Marlins(Florida) (Kim) 06/13/07 (19:05 ET)
Marlins(Florida) +113

6) BET ID=213394699
Straight Wager 06/13/07 10:02 ET
43.20/30.00 Result: Pending
BlueJays(Toronto) (McGowan)
Giants(SanFrancisco) (Lincecum) 06/13/07 (15:35 ET)
Giants(SanFrancisco) -144

7) BET ID=213394654
Straight Wager 06/13/07 10:01 ET
40.20/30.00 Result: Pending
Mets(NY) (Sosa)
Dodgers(LA) (Penny) 06/13/07 (22:10 ET)
Dodgers(LA) -134

[TomG]

The best situation IMO is when you are both fading the public and following steam. For example, take today's St. Louise / Kansas City game. 86% of bettors are on St. Louis, but the line moved from KC +110 to KC -102. That's usually a sign of smart money hopping on board KC. Of course, I picked St. Louis to win [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]. Anyway, good luck.

[AllinDan]

you definitely won't be break even if you follow this "system" while paying no attention to line movements.

[CrushinFelt]

Ehhh, even if this is a break-even system, betting 38% of your roll per day could leave you broke pretty quick.

[WackityWhiz]

late for work -- long story short... not good yesterday

1) BET ID=213466560
Straight Wager 06/14/07 12:01 ET
25.64/30.00 Result: Pending
Angels(Anaheim) (Colon)
Reds(Cincinnati) (Bailey) 06/14/07 (12:35 ET)
Reds(Cincinnati) +117

2) BET ID=213466428
Straight Wager 06/14/07 12:00 ET
28.84/29.99 Result: Pending
Cardinals(StLouis) (Wells)
Royals(KansasCity) (Elarton) 06/14/07 (20:10 ET)
Royals(KansasCity) +104

3) BET ID=213466294
Straight Wager 06/14/07 11:59 ET
32.10/30.00 Result: Pending
Athletics(Oakland) (Gaudin)
Astros(Houston) (Jennings) 06/14/07 (14:05 ET)
Astros(Houston) -107

4) BET ID=213466122
Straight Wager 06/14/07 11:58 ET
25.64/30.00 Result: Pending
Angels(Anaheim) (Colon)
Reds(Cincinnati) (Bailey) 06/14/07 (12:35 ET)
Reds(Cincinnati) +117

5) BET ID=213465968
Straight Wager 06/14/07 11:57 ET
30.00/30.00 Result: Pending
Padres(SanDiego) (Germano)
DevilRays(TampaBay) (Howell) 06/14/07 (12:10 ET)
DevilRays(TampaBay) Even

[WackityWhiz]

at work now ... i see i bet the reds twice...

i'm a f*ing moron