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#21
07-11-2007, 05:36 AM
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Re: AA deepish, ugly river card
Agree with the majority here, this looks like a very easy call. As Jamougha said he could easily be valuebetting something like KK-QQ or bluffing as you look very weak and IF he´s on a bluff he might think this is a pretty good rivercard to bluff on.
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#22
07-11-2007, 05:54 AM
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Re: AA deepish, ugly river card
[ QUOTE ]
yea I call [/ QUOTE ]
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#23
07-11-2007, 06:02 AM
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Re: AA deepish, ugly river card
[ QUOTE ]
that jack is as scary for him as it is for u. i dont think he bluffs here more than 10% and realistically like 5-8%. KK/QQ is somewhat unrealistic the way he played his hand. ur aces need to be good 30% of the time to break even. so WCS is he bluffs 15% of his range and vbets KK/QQ 10% of the time. thats still 75% of his range that beats you which are most likely a J/set. [/ QUOTE ] based on heros line and being OOP i think he bluffs way more than that. This could be AJ/KJ but just as likely value betting worse and bluff % when checked to on this river make it a good call IMO. Also if I were villain I would think AA is at the very top of hero's range here.
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#24
07-11-2007, 06:10 AM
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Re: AA deepish, ugly river card
[ QUOTE ]
hero calls and loses to quad jacks or a boat becuz he is giving you a free card to improve but instead, what happens is that he improves and has to bet it big otherwise he loses value. [/ QUOTE ] Yeah. If villain is good, I fold and am happy. This looks like a sick play with a set...Given that, I'd make the call because I wouldn't give that much credit...Although AJ doesn't seem impossible at all. It's tricky. Can you call half the time and fold half the time? If so, do that.
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#25
07-11-2007, 06:20 AM
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Re: AA deepish, ugly river card
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] hero calls and loses to quad jacks or a boat becuz he is giving you a free card to improve but instead, what happens is that he improves and has to bet it big otherwise he loses value. [/ QUOTE ] Yeah. If villain is good, I fold and am happy. This looks like a sick play with a set...Given that, I'd make the call because I wouldn't give that much credit...Although AJ doesn't seem impossible at all. It's tricky. Can you call half the time and fold half the time? If so, do that. [/ QUOTE ] no but you can buy a vowel [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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