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  #11  
Old 11-29-2007, 01:22 PM
The Reese The Reese is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 21
Default Re: 50NL: I almost always fold my overpair to this turn heat

I really don't like a fold here. At 26/16/1 is he calling preflop with a hand like K8 or K9? If he has anything that you are behind I think that you get re raised after your flop bet due to drawish board. The majority of the time I think we are up against a K and/ or a big draw.

We all know the games continue to evolve and the play is ever changing. I think that The c-bet is getting less and less credit every day and the average tightish donk that like to call in position looks at this flop and doesn't think you touched it. So he's calling you not necessarily to float but to see what you do on the turn and/ or if he can catch up with his "two overs". I believe he thinks the K is his "gin" card when he re raises.

I play for stacks after his re raise. FWIW
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  #12  
Old 11-29-2007, 01:25 PM
derosnec derosnec is offline
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Default Re: 50NL: I almost always fold my overpair to this turn heat

yeah some people will play AK/KQ like this but i just don't think you see that often enough here for a call or shove to be profitable; not at passive 50nl imo.
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  #13  
Old 11-29-2007, 01:53 PM
orig!naL orig!naL is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: grinding 25nl
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Default Re: 50NL: I almost always fold my overpair to this turn heat

I think the fold is fine here, but I really disagree that this isn't KQs a lot. I agree that it's not KK or AK and I'm fairly doubtful it's a set, but given villains AF, he very well could be smooth calling the flop with a set.

Regardless, I think the best case scenario, you're up against KQs
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  #14  
Old 11-29-2007, 03:25 PM
DonManuel DonManuel is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2007
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Default Re: 50NL: I almost always fold my overpair to this turn heat

I usually fear a lot to get stack-a-donked, because it puts me in hyper-tilt mode; so I maybe fold too much in those situations. So, yeah, with an AF of 1, I'm folding the turn
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