Stars 150, preflop push decision

Ansky · #1 02-01-2006, 01:03 AM

44 left, bubble broke at 45. Table is fairly tight and aggressive. Overall the play is pretty tough for an online tournament. Blinds are up in like 5 mins.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t1200 (9 handed) internettexasholdem.com

CO (t27295)
Button (t22984)
SB (t20967)
BB (t19720)
UTG (t44652)
Hero (t12737)
MP1 (t17086)
MP2 (t16276)
MP3 (t18492)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero...</font>

Ansky · #2 02-01-2006, 01:04 AM

actually they are up in like 10.

Maulik · #3 02-01-2006, 01:10 AM

Limp/raise still applies, so raise.

mlagoo · #4 02-01-2006, 01:11 AM

i think i muck it. i also probably fold AJo and maybe AJs. definitely push AQo+.

this may be tight, but people are too willing to gambooool right after the bubble breaks.

Ansky · #5 02-01-2006, 01:11 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Limp/raise still applies, so raise.

[/ QUOTE ]
[img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

grossmeyer · #6 02-01-2006, 01:11 AM

I push here with any suited A-broadway.

-Gross

mikeymer · #7 02-01-2006, 01:12 AM

I am definitely not pushing, but depending on how respected UTG raises were, I'd raise to 3k or fold...

**edit: yes i know you have 10bb. but a 2.5x bb raise does just as much and IMO 7.5 BB at this point in the tournament is enough to work with if you get repopped, while having a chance to accumulate blinds would also be huge here.**

A_PLUS · #8 02-01-2006, 01:13 AM

A push is worth about 3/4 of a BB, if you assume that their calling range is 88+, AJ+.

There is no range they can have that makes this -CEV, but the more PPs they call with the lower the +CEV of the play
Rnage is somewhere between 1/4BB and 1BB, depending on how tight they are.

I think that makes this a push, you can't really afford to fold your edges in this spot, especially if the field is tough

Maulik · #9 02-01-2006, 01:13 AM

Apologies, I didn't realise you're at 10bb. I'd find a fold after the bubble breaks.

A_PLUS · #10 02-01-2006, 01:15 AM

[ QUOTE ]
i think i muck it. i also probably fold AJo and maybe AJs. definitely push AQo+.

this may be tight, but people are too willing to gambooool right after the bubble breaks.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why is that a bad thing? The only 'gamble' hands that we dont like to see are mid-small PPs, and at this point, I'll take the flip with almost 20% of my stack in dead money