200NL: Weird spot with TT

Clashes · #1 10-15-2007, 10:04 PM

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (6 handed) Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($196)
SB ($271.90)
BB ($241.35)
UTG ($48.40)
MP ($222.25)
CO ($274.15)

Preflop: Hero is Button with T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG raises to $7, 1 fold, CO calls $7, Hero raises to $30, 2 folds, UTG folds, CO calls $23.

Flop: ($70) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $40, CO raises to $244.15 (All-In)...

Villain is 16/13/19 over 200 hands. i just joined the table.

DaycareInferno · #2 10-15-2007, 10:10 PM

i'm not going to fold a TT overpair on a low, drawy board against a guy with a 19 ag over 200 hands. i din't care if he's 12/9.

Claunchy · #3 10-15-2007, 10:27 PM

I'd probably call just because of preflop being weird. I doubt this is QQ+ very often, if ever. Seems like it's probably JJ/99 a lot, maybe a set or a draw every now and then.

theplux · #4 10-15-2007, 10:28 PM

snapcall...

R6MC · #5 10-15-2007, 10:28 PM

any chance you meant an AF of 1 POINT 9 (aka 1.9)?

blackize · #6 10-15-2007, 10:30 PM

[ QUOTE ]

i'm not going to fold a TT overpair on a low, drawy board against a guy with a 19 ag over 200 hands. i din't care if he's 12/9.

[/ QUOTE ]

It really depends how he got that ag. I would guess it comes from the fact that he basically never calls and not that he's bombing every flop.

Unknown Soldier · #7 10-15-2007, 10:31 PM

mate, need reads on utg!

myke11 · #8 10-15-2007, 10:55 PM

In my experience villian has a set ALOT of the time here... I still call though

shpanko · #9 10-15-2007, 10:59 PM

fold, I prob just call a lot pf depending on the stats of the opener.

As for the aggression factor, all that means is villain plays fit or fold, he's still tight and I doubt his range after pf action includs SC's, I think his range is pretty much exclusively pocket pairs and if he's shoving on this flop I don't like our odds. I'd peg his range as 33-77 and this makes it a fold.

DaycareInferno · #10 10-15-2007, 11:02 PM

i don't think thats really true unless villain is just open folding hands when he doesn't hit. 16/13 almost always has the lead postflop, and is getting called a lot postflop. maybe its just a typo, but you can't get anywhere near that AF just by folding a lot with those preflop stats.