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#51
11-15-2007, 08:04 PM
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Re: 21.5 BB/100 over 25K hands. How crazy is this?
[ QUOTE ]
I'd consider this except for it to be worth it the prop would have to be like $250k or possibly more and there isn't a chance in hell I can handle that swong if I lose. Edit: So basically, my post is useless. This would never go down but it wouldn't surprise me if it wasn't possible for some people. [/ QUOTE ] Ya, bets like this have been proposed a lot on these forums but I've never seen them go down. I would be willing to do it for a 15k hand sample size though. I realize variance would rule the day but people bet on coinflippish events all the time, and that doesn't mean noone has an edge. At least 15k hands has a chance of happening. And to you high stakes players, you really aren't giving up THAT much. If you can play 15k hands in a week of 1/2 and average 10PTBB, that is $6,000 for a weeks work, before prop bets. With HS winrates as low as they are these days, you arent giving up much expectation. Add to that some thousands in prop bet EV (at least you think so!) and this isn't that bad a deal. I'm sure if someone commited to do this and made another thread you could get a lot more action too (hopefully on both sides). 
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#52
11-15-2007, 08:06 PM
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Re: 21.5 BB/100 over 25K hands. How crazy is this?
w_alloy,
Can we change this to 33k hands at $5/10 NL and have the prop apply retroactively? See my new thread in BBV!
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#53
11-15-2007, 08:29 PM
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Re: 21.5 BB/100 over 25K hands. How crazy is this?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I've added this thing called "game selection" to my game, it helps. [/ QUOTE ] ha and here I am trying to have worse game selection. I'll probaby be at 71k breakeven soon. [/ QUOTE ] YOU DONT GET BETTER UNLESS YOU PLAY THE BEST!!1!!1!!1oneoneoneoneoneone
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#54
11-15-2007, 08:34 PM
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Re: 21.5 BB/100 over 25K hands. How crazy is this?
[ QUOTE ]
w_alloy, Can we change this to 33k hands at $5/10 NL and have the prop apply retroactively? See my new thread in BBV! [/ QUOTE ] Congrats on the sick prolonged stretch. After seeing that thread, you are one of the last people I would like to make this bet with, but I still don't think you have a 10PTBB expectation at 1/2NL. I've ran at over 10PTBB at 5/10NL for more than 33k hands too! Here is a graph of me running at 13PTBB/100 for 33k hands. In this graph is 8k hands 3/6 and the rest 5/10. And yes, this is a consecutive stretch without filters. 
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#55
11-15-2007, 08:37 PM
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Re: 21.5 BB/100 over 25K hands. How crazy is this?
[ QUOTE ]
Also I thought Goofy was like a super nit or something...did u loosen up recently? [/ QUOTE ] I am a super nit, I'm just really good at poker too. My preflop stats over that graph were prob like 16/13.
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#56
11-15-2007, 08:59 PM
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Re: 21.5 BB/100 over 25K hands. How crazy is this?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Also I thought Goofy was like a super nit or something...did u loosen up recently? [/ QUOTE ] I am a super nit, I'm just really good at poker too. My preflop stats over that graph were prob like 16/13. [/ QUOTE ] can i be yr apprentice lol thats a sick graph for 16/13
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