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  #1  
Old 10-05-2006, 11:19 PM
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Default AA facing river push

villian is II_II_11 who it think is KKF but not really sure. he is a good TAG at about 19/10 for fullring. really agro, i have seen him call raises in LP w. SCs as low as 23s, raise flops in position with draws as little as gutshots, and shove on the turn for 2x pot with a made straight.

what hands am i most likely facing vs this shove on river? i thought a set could likely slowplay on flop but probably jacks it up on turn. KT is pretty unlikely IMO. TT seems more possible. what hand calls to river and decides to bluff all of a sudden?

really confused. thanks for advice in advanced.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (8 handed) internettexasholdem.com

Hero ($5079.40)
MP1 ($5616)
MP2 ($4944.92)
CO ($4975)
Button ($5639)
SB ($6099)
BB ($900)
UTG ($1261)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $25.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $177</font>, MP1 calls $177, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>.

Flop: ($429) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $277</font>, MP1 calls $277.

Turn: ($983) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $777</font>, MP1 calls $777.

River: ($2537) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $1500</font>, MP1 calls $4385 (All-In),

Hero has to 2.3k more
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  #2  
Old 10-05-2006, 11:34 PM
flawless_victory flawless_victory is offline
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Default Re: AA facing river push

he either bluffing w/ a bigK, QQ/JJ or he has u beat...
your image is 'never folds anything ever'...

prob a fold.
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  #3  
Old 10-05-2006, 11:37 PM
shawny boy shawny boy is offline
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Default Re: AA facing river push

a fold with just 2.3k behind? really? no way I can fold there getting almost 3.5:1.
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  #4  
Old 10-06-2006, 12:02 AM
Python49 Python49 is offline
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Default Re: AA facing river push

so just always call the rest of your stack off when you get trapped is what you believe to be optimal?
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  #5  
Old 10-06-2006, 12:11 AM
shawny boy shawny boy is offline
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Default Re: AA facing river push

[ QUOTE ]
so just always call the rest of your stack off when you get trapped is what you believe to be optimal?

[/ QUOTE ]

no, I just think AA is good here 1 time out of 3.
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  #6  
Old 10-06-2006, 01:58 AM
Slider Slider is offline
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Default Re: AA facing river push

87s makes a lot of sense in full ring here. He's probably not going to raise the flop if he thinks you never fold so ~
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  #7  
Old 10-06-2006, 02:11 AM
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Default Re: AA facing river push

he's got to be very loose to call 87 from mp1 with others to act behind him. he's got a &lt;20vp.
also, why wouldn't he raise turn?
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  #8  
Old 10-06-2006, 03:46 AM
gakn29 gakn29 is offline
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Default Re: AA facing river push

I really dont see enough hands here that you can beat with the exception of a Kx of clubs that didnt get there, but even then youd probly have got in on the turn as described
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  #9  
Old 10-06-2006, 04:00 AM
Ansky Ansky is offline
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Default Re: AA facing river push

Can't see how you can call here.

Such an unlikely spot for a bluff, and at the same time how many worse hands can he be value raising?
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  #10  
Old 10-06-2006, 07:52 AM
cardsharkk04 cardsharkk04 is offline
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Default Re: AA facing river push

folderoo
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