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9 Way Pot Best With AA?
Please forgive this general theory question.
Of course I understand that the conventional wisdom recommends isolating one opponent when you have a big pair. However, Angel Largay recommends letting a big field see the flop with you with TT-QQ. The math bears this out: If you have JJ and just one opponent, and both of you put in $100 to see a flop, your equity against a random holding is 78%. 78% of 200 is $156, so that is your equity. Your price is $100. So your EV = 156-100 = $56. Now, say you have let 8 opponents with random holdings see the flop with you. Here, your equity is 20% of 900 = $180 Your price, again, is $100. Therefore, your EV is 180-100 = $80 So your EV is $24 greater if you let 8 people see the flop with you versus when you let only 1 see it with you. This got me thinking: surely this is true of AA as well. In fact, the math shows that it is: AA versus 1 random opponent Equity: 85% of 200 = $170 Price: $100 EV: 170-100=$70 AA versus 8 random opponents Equity: 34% of $900=$306 Price: $100 EV: 306-100=$206 So you gain 206-70=$146 in equity by letting 8 people see the flop with you. Of course, this assumes that 8 people will pay $100 to see a flop. But doesn't this suggest we should try to keep as many people in the pot as possible when we have AA? And that if we raise, it should be a small, pot-building raise that will encourage people to stay in, rather than a big raise designed to isolate one opponent? The next question is, what do we do when we flop on overpair and 8 other people see the flop with us? Bet out and fold to resistance? Check-call until we feel we are beat? Check-fold unless we hit a set? If I am missing something, please tell me what it is. If you believe it is, in fact, better to isolate one opponent, please explain to me why you think so. |
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