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Old 11-26-2007, 02:09 PM
hasugopher hasugopher is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 1,191
Default river overbet shove bluff

Kind of a weird decision here by me... let me explain my thought process a bit.

Villain and I don't have much history... he's a seemingly nitty 17/15 type nitty tagg. I'm playing kind of nitty as well, and I've been really sick the last couple weeks so this is my first session in a while.

River I'm shoving $377 to win $72 so initial risk:reward type thinking suggests it's awful. However, how often can he ever call here, especially considering that I have the ace of spades? For anyone thinking I'm just making a stupid image post, I want to clarify and say that I think everytime I've ever made a shove in a similar spot, it's been 100% pure nuts, every time. This would suggest that he probably couldn't call profitably without them, although I wouldn't ever expect him to fold something like JsXs.

Anyway, thoughts? If nothing else, I hope this is a break from the standard, boring hands everyone is so used to seeing.

POKERSTARS GAME #13481038377: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($2/$4) - 2007/11/26 - 12:41:18 (ET)
Table 'Lutetia IV' 6-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: karelr ($477.30 in chips)
Seat 2: Lucky_WIns ($543.30 in chips)
Seat 3: stdjog12 ($482.85 in chips)
Seat 4: Lukieplaya ($412.80 in chips)
Seat 5: oppy01 ($260.75 in chips)
Seat 6: suz2209 ($325.20 in chips)
Lucky_WIns: posts small blind $2
stdjog12: posts big blind $4
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Lukieplaya [As Qd]
Lukieplaya: raises $10 to $14
oppy01: folds
suz2209: folds
karelr: folds
Lucky_WIns: calls $12
stdjog12: folds
*** FLOP *** [7s Jc 3c]
Lucky_WIns: checks
Lukieplaya: bets $22
Lucky_WIns: calls $22
*** TURN *** [7s Jc 3c] [8s]
Lucky_WIns: checks
Lukieplaya: checks
*** RIVER *** [7s Jc 3c 8s] [Ts]
Lucky_WIns: checks
Lukieplaya: bets $376.80 and is all-in
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