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  #1  
Old 11-06-2007, 02:40 PM
pureCra2z pureCra2z is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 263
Default 50NL: TP vs tight villain min rr ai

Villain is 16/0/1.75 over 50 hands

pretty obvious set..

Full Tilt Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

UTG: $47.20
UTG+1: $19.40
MP1: $22.75
Hero (MP2): $53.75
CO: $27.20
BTN: $32.60
SB: $37.20
BB: $9.25

Pre-Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (MP2)
2 folds, MP1 calls $0.50, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2</font>, CO folds, BTN calls $2, 2 folds, MP1 calls $1.50

Flop: ($6.75) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players)
MP1 checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $4</font>, BTN folds, MP1 calls $4

Turn: ($14.75) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
MP1 checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $8</font>, <font color="red">MP1 raises to $16.75 and is All-In</font>, Hero calls $8.75
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  #2  
Old 11-06-2007, 02:54 PM
TRWIII TRWIII is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Fighting the \"System\"
Posts: 414
Default Re: 50NL: TP vs tight villain min rr ai

You're getting 4.5-1 on that call, so you only need to win about 18% of the time to break even. Even though villain's stats seem to imply that you're in a crapload of trouble, they're off a pretty small sample size, and I'd probably make a crying call here even though I know I should fold.

TRWIII
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  #3  
Old 11-06-2007, 04:13 PM
alex-star alex-star is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: LA
Posts: 810
Default Re: 50NL: TP vs tight villain min rr ai

it does not have to be a set - could be a combo draw like QJc trying to use up the last of its folding equity, could also be a slow played AKs (saw it happen a few times). However, your equity here is not that hot against their range, so I might consider pitching.
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