NL25 AK preflop in limp+raise+call pot, NLHTAP concept

[WantToLearn]

Thanks to all!

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1. Position in any pot give you huge advantage
2. initiave is too
3. over shoving ai to a 5bb open for 100 bbs is simply risking to much to win too little.

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That´s all very true.
But 1. and 2. are worth less if c-bets might be called just because the opposition knows we c-bet a lot and thinks we might give up, plus the pot is getting too large to fire any second barrel w/ air.

Number 3. is the most important point here. I guess I just risked too much for too little. But I really want to find out where it starts to change - ratio effective stacks/risk to potential reward.

btw, as far as I can see there´s a flaw in your maths. You give numbers of how likely it is that someone has AA/KK. You seem to assume that AA, KK is just as likely as QQ,KK etc. In fact, it is not. That is because I have one ace and one king, so there´s only 3 ways to make AA/KK, while there´s 6 ways to make each smaller pocket pair. So the chance of someone else being dealt AA at a 9-handed table is only like ~2% (probability forum user told me).