#11
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Re: standard vs. flop checkbehind
wtf about c/c c/c turn and river with quad??
i would bet the turn.Vilain check flop is really weird but i ve quad i don't understand why check turn?? |
#12
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Re: standard vs. flop checkbehind
[ QUOTE ]
I woulda lost more I think, the same people who ck AA here ck AK, i probably would have cr'd the turn and called down I suppose or called to cr the river vs KK QQ. [/ QUOTE ] If I were going to look at this mathematically, where would I do my baysean probabilities, on the flop or the turn? i.e. Let's say that I said that he would play AK/AQ like this like 60% of the time if he was the type of player to play AA in this manner. Therefore flop: AK/AQ = 24 hands, 60% = 14.4 hands. AA = 3 hands. 4.8:1 he has AK/AQ over AA. ---- Turn: AK/AQ = 16 hands = 9.6 hands AA = 1 hand. 9.6:1 in favour of AK/AQ. ---------------- Which is it? I think that we're looking at the turn (9.6:1 in favour of the big ace) rather than the flop, even though most of our "eureka info" came on the flop. I'm tired, so... I'm having a tough time with this. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] Anyways, which of these math formulas is right, given my assumption? 9.6:1? --Dave. edit: last time someone did this to me I had 66 on J642 and I bet/called the turn instead of c/c'ed it (vs jj). edit: fwiw I see this line it seems much more often out of AA than AK, just because AK has so many more hands that you will pay off with than AA. |
#13
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Re: standard vs. flop checkbehind
[ QUOTE ]
Which is it? I think that we're looking at the turn (9.6:1 in favour of the big ace) rather than the flop, even though most of our "eureka info" came on the flop. [/ QUOTE ] Yeah, you would use the information you got on the turn when doing the weighted combo analysis. |
#14
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Re: standard vs. flop checkbehind
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Which is it? I think that we're looking at the turn (9.6:1 in favour of the big ace) rather than the flop, even though most of our "eureka info" came on the flop. [/ QUOTE ] Yeah, you would use the information you got on the turn when doing the weighted combo analysis. [/ QUOTE ] LDO... figured. Thanks bro. edit: If I didn't do that, and the river was an ace, my formula would still show a chance of villain holding AA. [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img] |
#15
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Re: standard vs. flop checkbehind
Yeah, Villain might sometimes play AK this way (I've seen it once that I remember), but I don't really care. I'm too busy reveling in how badly Villain got owned in this hand. I mean, it sucks to lose to a one-outer, but the simple calldown sure is a sweet way to punish the "tricky" flop check behind.
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#16
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Re: standard vs. flop checkbehind
[ QUOTE ]
hahahahahaha would this have qualified for jackpot even? some sites it's quad 8s or better getting beaten [/ QUOTE ] at AP it's AAAKK or better getting beaten, but i think more than 2 people have to see the flop. anyway it wasn't at a jackpot table because i try not to play those/. |
#17
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Re: standard vs. flop checkbehind
[ QUOTE ]
Okay but why does he muck it? [/ QUOTE ] Because he didn't have AA and mylesdyson edited the hand history. Guy. |
#18
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Re: standard vs. flop checkbehind
heheh
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