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#11
05-31-2006, 07:21 AM
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Re: Big draw late in tourney...whats your line?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I don't know. I'm a sucker for draws and if it were me, I'd be getting my chips in here 150% of the time. I'm trying to be logical here though. [/ QUOTE ] We're not in a comfortable spot (10bb), there's enough money in the pot, and it's a big enough draw where I'm fine getting called or calling. [/ QUOTE ] Ehh, since I agree with A_J's analysis, I think I shove here on the flop. I am indifferent if I get called by A-rag or whatever. Picking up the pot right here isn't the worst option as villian may have a wierd re-draw. 
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#12
05-31-2006, 07:23 AM
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Re: Big draw late in tourney...whats your line?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I don't know. I'm a sucker for draws and if it were me, I'd be getting my chips in here 150% of the time. I'm trying to be logical here though. [/ QUOTE ] We're not in a comfortable spot (10bb), there's enough money in the pot, and it's a big enough draw where I'm fine getting called or calling. [/ QUOTE ] Ummm... Effective stacks are 20+BB.
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#14
05-31-2006, 07:25 AM
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Re: Big draw late in tourney...whats your line?
I don't think Villain would necessarily be committed after a reraise, but I could be wrong.
Lead 5k, get reraised to 15ishk, push 55k. I think we have SOME FE there, even if it's not much.
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#16
05-31-2006, 10:39 AM
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Re: Big draw late in tourney...whats your line?
You don't need to bet huge but make a decent attempt at the pot-- something in the 8k range. Be happy getting all in no matter how it comes, even if you have to call a check raise push as he stands up and shoves over his stacks into the middle of the felt.
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#18
05-31-2006, 04:48 PM
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Re: Big draw late in tourney...whats your line?
chances are really good he has qq or aa but even against those hands, eyeball math you have odds to call so its an easy call
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1758686 pokenum -h jh th - - qc qs -- ah qh 6s Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing 6s Ah Qh cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV Jh Th 344 34.75 646 65.25 0 0.00 0.347 Qs Qc 646 65.25 344 34.75 0 0.00 0.653
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#19
05-31-2006, 05:30 PM
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Re: Big draw late in tourney...whats your line?
Is it wrong to check it to take a card? The villain's raise preflop and check on a flop that contains an Ace and a Queen is strange. Why not check here and take the free card? Why risk all your chips on flush/gut draw? The post above shows that you will win 35% of the time against a set of queens, so why put a lot of chips in hoping that you either steal the pot or catch?
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#20
05-31-2006, 06:27 PM
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Re: Big draw late in tourney...whats your line?
[ QUOTE ]
The post above shows that you will win 35% of the time against a set of queens, so why put a lot of chips in hoping that you either steal the pot or catch? [/ QUOTE ] Well he doesnt always have a set of queens here. -LL
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