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#1
05-28-2007, 07:25 PM
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no limit probability problem
A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] / A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ,board 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] against 3 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 45,05% 3 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 53,13% tie 1,82% A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 48,18% 3 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 50,61% tie 1,21% Why is A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3% better than A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ? straight flushes break even so what's going on? 
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#3
05-28-2007, 08:18 PM
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Re: no limit probability problem
[ QUOTE ]
Most of it is due to straights coming in with the 7 of spades. There are more offsuit sevens that help when the 4d 3d faces the As 7d. [/ QUOTE ] seven is never an out for As7d or Ad7s, 43 always makes straight with it or flush.
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#4
05-28-2007, 09:07 PM
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Re: no limit probability problem
A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] doesn't win when the board is 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] does win when the board is 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
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#5
05-28-2007, 10:04 PM
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Re: no limit probability problem
[ QUOTE ]
A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] doesn't win when the board is 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] does win when the board is 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] But A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] doesn't win when the board is 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] The straight flush possibilities goes even. 2 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] both A7's lose.
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#6
05-28-2007, 11:14 PM
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Re: no limit probability problem
[ QUOTE ]
board 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 45,05% 3 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 53,13% tie 1,82% A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 48,18% 3 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 50,61% tie 1,21% Why is A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3% better than A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ? [/ QUOTE ] To clarify what bigpooch said, 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] has 17 outs against A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], but only 16 outs against A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. Either way, there are 9 outs to a flush (and 3 outs to a pair of 3s). Against A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], there are 6 other cards completing the OESD, and not the flush. Against A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], there are only 5 ways to make the straight, 2 7s, and 3 2s. The 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] gives 43 one of the flushes already counted, not a straight.
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