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#42
11-22-2007, 02:53 AM
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Re: ***Thanksgiving NFL Games***
They gave me $10 in Live Betting credits, and I ended up with a lil' over $6. They said in the email they gave it to me because I hadn't used Live betting in a while. I also haven't had money on Bodog for a while so I'm thinkin that may have had somethin to do with it too.
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#44
11-22-2007, 01:45 PM
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Re: ***Thanksgiving NFL Games***
 SageStats ensign_lee~~~ Last week wasn't too bad. My two biggest plays collided and netted each other out (less juice) in the Texans game, with the first half going over, but the game not. But hey: the Texans WON!!! so I was happy. Weeeh! I'm just about two units away from the black. Yay! Funny thing is, if you look at my breakeven winning percentage vs. my actual winning percentage (it's on that page), my winning percentage is higher than my breakeven winning percentage, which means that had I bet the same amount on every game, I'd be up, but since I didn't, I'm down. D'oh to me... hah. Well, anyway, here we go. ~~~ 2-team parlay (+281): IND -7 1st half IND/ATL OVER 20.5 1st half 2 units at BetTrojan I think that both of these bets are +EV in their own right, and then throw in the fact that should Indy cover the -7 in the first half, the total going over for the first half is more likely, then I made it a parlay. I hit the first half rather than the game because Indy has a tendency to let off the gas late in fourth quarters with big leads and I don't feel like having to worry about that. However, I think I'm 0-2 now in betting first halves regarding Indianapolis, so feel free to take that for what it's worth.
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#45
11-22-2007, 02:16 PM
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Re: ***Thanksgiving NFL Games***
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] i also take the under in the dallas game...coles wont be playing...and jets have a good secondary so there is going to be alot of running [/ QUOTE ] The Jets have the second worst pass defense in the league. [/ QUOTE ] this has nothing to do with the secondary
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#46
11-22-2007, 02:52 PM
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Re: ***Thanksgiving NFL Games***
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] i also take the under in the dallas game...coles wont be playing...and jets have a good secondary so there is going to be alot of running [/ QUOTE ] The Jets have the second worst pass defense in the league. [/ QUOTE ] this has nothing to do with the secondary [/ QUOTE ] Evidence?
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#47
11-22-2007, 05:40 PM
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Re: ***Thanksgiving NFL Games***
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] i also take the under in the dallas game...coles wont be playing...and jets have a good secondary so there is going to be alot of running [/ QUOTE ] The Jets have the second worst pass defense in the league. [/ QUOTE ] this has nothing to do with the secondary [/ QUOTE ] Evidence? [/ QUOTE ] Just watch the games. The Jets rarely get pressure and give opposing QBs all day to pick the secondary apart.
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#48
11-22-2007, 06:38 PM
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Re: ***Thanksgiving NFL Games***
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] i also take the under in the dallas game...coles wont be playing...and jets have a good secondary so there is going to be alot of running [/ QUOTE ] The Jets have the second worst pass defense in the league. [/ QUOTE ] this has nothing to do with the secondary [/ QUOTE ] Evidence? [/ QUOTE ] Just watch the games. The Jets rarely get pressure and give opposing QBs all day to pick the secondary apart. [/ QUOTE ] So Dallas should be able to pick the secondary apart?
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#49
11-22-2007, 08:08 PM
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Re: ***Thanksgiving NFL Games***
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] i also take the under in the dallas game...coles wont be playing...and jets have a good secondary so there is going to be alot of running [/ QUOTE ] The Jets have the second worst pass defense in the league. [/ QUOTE ] this has nothing to do with the secondary [/ QUOTE ] Evidence? [/ QUOTE ] Just watch the games. The Jets rarely get pressure and give opposing QBs all day to pick the secondary apart. [/ QUOTE ] So Dallas should be able to pick the secondary apart? [/ QUOTE ] Yes, I agree, I was just pointing out that there is not necessarily statistical "evidence" to look at to determine that the Jets' poor pass defense has little or nothing to do w/ the secondary. / run on sentence
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#50
11-22-2007, 11:22 PM
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Re: ***Thanksgiving NFL Games***
Parlay 3-Team Parlay $4,737.60 Green Bay Packers (-3.5) vs Detroit Lions for Game ( +105 ) New York Jets vs Dallas Cowboys (-14) for Game ( -115 ) Indianapolis Colts (-11.5) vs Atlanta Falcons for Game( -110 ) Goooooooooooo Indy -11.5!
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