Paperchamp's NFL Week 8

[Witzo]

NE is now 2 TDs and a FG favorite at Bodog for NE-17(even) [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

I decided to tease NE -11 with Buffalo +9 which is probably terrible but when I teased Miami to +23 I sweated it the entire game.

[NewGuy]

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I decided to tease NE -11 with Buffalo +9 which is probably terrible

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Uh, no offense, but it's more than probable.

The Buffalo +3->+9 isn't so bad (since they are closer to a 2.5 dog than true 3).

Assuming the line is accurate, a 6-point teaser is a +EV play only if by getting those 6 points odds of ~50-50 proposition (e.g., NE wins by 17+ ) now occur over 70-72% of the time depending on the juice (since you have to hit both ends of the teaser).

So only if you think NE wins by exactly 11-16 over 20-22% of the time is this a +EV play to tease the pats.

[Jazzy3113]

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I decided to tease NE -11 with Buffalo +9 which is probably terrible

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yuck.

[paperchamp]

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Everyone knows that Tom Brady has the arm of a greek god and Randy Moss bats defenders away with his dick, but does anyone else feel like -16 is a lot for NE to be giving to a 4-2 team with a good pass defense? I know last week was on the road but the line was about the same for Miami. How can that be right?

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Washington overrated IMO.

[kyro]

I also agree that people are severly underrating Browns this year (Browns to the playoffs, lock it up), but I could see this game being somewhat of a shootout. As bad as the Rams offense has been, they still have Bulger and Holt, and I could see them scoring enough to keep it relatively close.

[MrBlueNose]

I think I'd rather take the points rather than give em in Browns/Ram, as I expect it to be a tight affair.

My picks this week:

Packers +3
49ers +3
Giants -9
Giants/Dolphins over 48

All computer generated so no reasoning behind it. YTD: 17-11-1

[mr. teaser]

What do you guys think about this... (10 point teaser)
I have to pick 3 possible combinations...
here are some of my favorites for week 8

- Giants/Dolphins ... Under 58
- Redskins +27 (vs Patriots)
- Packers +13 (vs Broncos)
- Vikings/Eagles ... Over 27
- Browns +7 (vs Rams)
- Jaguars +14 (vs Bucanners)

what would be the best 3 selections?

[Witzo]

[ QUOTE ]

What do you guys think about this... (10 point teaser)
I have to pick 3 possible combinations...
here are some of my favorites for week 8

- Giants/Dolphins ... Under 58
- Redskins +27 (vs Patriots)
- Packers +13 (vs Broncos)
- Vikings/Eagles ... Over 27
- Browns +7 (vs Rams)
- Jaguars +14 (vs Bucanners)

what would be the best 3 selections?

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Giants Dolphins U
Browns +7
Wash +27 (even though as sick as it sounds NE-7 might be better side)

[mr. teaser]

thanks !! NE-7 ? or redskins +27 ? ... I dont know dude
they have to lose a game someday...

[21SuicideKing21]

Redskins defense isn't overrated. I just think the defense will do its job long enough, but won't be able to keep up with the PATS offense. skins won't be able to do anything on offense. I say PATS 24 SKINS 10.