Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > Other Topics > Sporting Events
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

View Poll Results: What is a unit?
My average bet (in other words, I sometimes bet less than a unit). 20 48.78%
My smallest bet (in other words, I always bet between 1 and x units). 15 36.59%
What's a unit? I bet an amount proportional to my advantage (Kelly or some variation thereof). 6 14.63%
Voters: 41. You may not vote on this poll

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #21  
Old 09-30-2007, 08:47 PM
Chrisman886 Chrisman886 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Making money
Posts: 2,206
Default Re: finally gonna have a tiebreaker game

Does the winner get home-field vs. the Phils?
Reply With Quote
  #22  
Old 09-30-2007, 08:48 PM
chim17 chim17 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 7,441
Default Re: finally gonna have a tiebreaker game

I dunno for sure but I would imagine the division winner gets home field.
Reply With Quote
  #23  
Old 09-30-2007, 08:51 PM
CardSharpCook CardSharpCook is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: kingputtlv
Posts: 7,328
Default Re: finally gonna have a tiebreaker game

[ QUOTE ]
Rockies fans way outweight Pads fans here.

[/ QUOTE ] pun?
Reply With Quote
  #24  
Old 09-30-2007, 08:52 PM
CardSharpCook CardSharpCook is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: kingputtlv
Posts: 7,328
Default Re: finally gonna have a tiebreaker game

[ QUOTE ]
the division winner gets home field.

[/ QUOTE ]
Reply With Quote
  #25  
Old 09-30-2007, 08:53 PM
Chrisman886 Chrisman886 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Making money
Posts: 2,206
Default Re: finally gonna have a tiebreaker game

Josh Fogg vs. Padres:

Michael Barrett: 11-for-25,.440/.462/.960 4HR
Marcus Giles: 9-for-17 .529/.600/.588
Brian Giles: 9-for-20 .450/.478/.850 2HR
Reply With Quote
  #26  
Old 09-30-2007, 08:56 PM
CardSharpCook CardSharpCook is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: kingputtlv
Posts: 7,328
Default Re: finally gonna have a tiebreaker game

I'd put the line at Pads -108, Rock -102. It's Peavy. I mean is freaking Peavy. But there could be some truth to his Coors field numbers. The rockies have much bigger bats though.
Reply With Quote
  #27  
Old 09-30-2007, 08:58 PM
Chrisman886 Chrisman886 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Making money
Posts: 2,206
Default Re: finally gonna have a tiebreaker game

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Rockies fans way outweight Pads fans here.

[/ QUOTE ] pun?

[/ QUOTE ]

Unintended, albeit funny. Good catch.
Reply With Quote
  #28  
Old 09-30-2007, 09:00 PM
chim17 chim17 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 7,441
Default Re: finally gonna have a tiebreaker game

I don't see how Rocks +132 isn't great value.
Reply With Quote
  #29  
Old 09-30-2007, 09:03 PM
Mondogarage Mondogarage is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Section 238, Row 9
Posts: 1,213
Default Re: finally gonna have a tiebreaker game

[ QUOTE ]
Josh Fogg vs. Padres:

Michael Barrett: 11-for-25,.440/.462/.960 4HR
Marcus Giles: 9-for-17 .529/.600/.588
Brian Giles: 9-for-20 .450/.478/.850 2HR

[/ QUOTE ]

Plz to be giving us Holliday/Hawpe/Helton/Atkins/Tulo stats vs Peavy?
Reply With Quote
  #30  
Old 09-30-2007, 09:04 PM
MicroBob MicroBob is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: The cat is back by popular demand.
Posts: 29,344
Default Re: finally gonna have a tiebreaker game

[ QUOTE ]
Josh Fogg starts for the Rox, on normal rest.

And yeah, he's no Jake Peavy, but the Padres lineup is pretty weak now, with no Cameron and Bradley, and we just swept 'em on the road.

And Fogg hasn't lost since August 22nd. If we get 6 innings out of him, Francis can pitch 2 innings on his throw on the side day, and our bullpen is the best in the NL since the All Star break.

Yeah, the gambloors may favor San Diego, but it's kinda a sucker bet right now.

[/ QUOTE ]

Personal pet-peeve/nit-pick:
Your argument would have a slightly better chance of appearing credible if you didn't refer to your favorite team as "we"
Unless you play for them or are a member of the Rockies front-office or something then I don't think they should be a "we" for you.

HOWEVER, your argument still isn't that hot:
Not that I believe that the LV lines are always efficient 100% of the time or anything like that. But saying that the gamblors are playing into a suckers-bet by taking Peavy is kind of silly.

Fogg has had 2 mediocre performances among his last 3. He is far from dominating:
Sept 19 vs. LAD 5ip, 8h, 3er
Sept 14 vs. FLA 5ip, 5h, 4er, 4bb, 3k

He had a 4 game stretch from Aug 27 through Sept 14 in which he walked 14 batters in 22ip.
Although he had 0 and 3 bb's in his last 2 starts so may be a little better now.

Peavy otoh is one of the best starters in the game and has been pretty dominating in his last 4.
Combined stats are 28.1ip, 17h, 6er, 6bb, 24k's.


Yes, COL may very well win this game. But Peavy is pretty darned good and saying that SD is somehow a sucker's bet because the Pads offense is so badly depeleted or whatever is kind of silly.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:57 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.