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Old 03-14-2007, 08:13 PM
paperchamp paperchamp is offline
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Default How often does an NBA game push?

I can't find a site that has this and other stats like it. There is a one point middle available on the Clippers/Rockets game right now and I was wondering if that's worth betting at -110 on each side. I'm already on the Clippers so I would probably be shading the bet in that direction.
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  #2  
Old 03-14-2007, 08:17 PM
TheFish TheFish is offline
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Default Re: How often does an NBA game push?

I've pushed probably < 1% in my entire sports betting career, not sure if you can find push stats since they're so infrequent...
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Old 03-14-2007, 08:20 PM
paperchamp paperchamp is offline
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Default Re: How often does an NBA game push?

So I'm guessing it's -EV to middle in this situation?
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  #4  
Old 03-14-2007, 08:37 PM
ZServe ZServe is offline
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Default Re: How often does an NBA game push?

Pretty sure you need at least 1.5 points to think about middling at -110, with exceptions of course such as 2.5/3.5 in football, etc. Would be interested to see other responses though.
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  #5  
Old 03-14-2007, 08:46 PM
Homer Homer is offline
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Default Re: How often does an NBA game push?

You need 1.5 pts to make it +EV. 1 point makes it about the equivalent of a -1 or -2 cent arb.
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  #6  
Old 03-14-2007, 09:05 PM
paperchamp paperchamp is offline
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Default Re: How often does an NBA game push?

Thanks for the response guys, that's exactly what I was looking for. I didn't hose myself too bad then because I'm also trying to clear a bonus at one of the books. In the future I will look for at least 1.5. Would you say that holds true for NBA totals as well?
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  #7  
Old 03-14-2007, 09:13 PM
KUJustin KUJustin is offline
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Default Re: How often does an NBA game push?

I would assume you need considerably more for totals.
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  #8  
Old 03-14-2007, 09:22 PM
Homer Homer is offline
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Default Re: How often does an NBA game push?

[ QUOTE ]
Thanks for the response guys, that's exactly what I was looking for. I didn't hose myself too bad then because I'm also trying to clear a bonus at one of the books. In the future I will look for at least 1.5. Would you say that holds true for NBA totals as well?

[/ QUOTE ]

For totals about 2 pts is neutral ev, need 2.5 pts to make it +ev.
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  #9  
Old 03-14-2007, 09:39 PM
ImStillBen ImStillBen is offline
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Default Re: How often does an NBA game push?

[ QUOTE ]
1 point makes it about the equivalent of a -1 or -2 cent arb.

[/ QUOTE ]

You mean like -1000/+999?
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  #10  
Old 03-14-2007, 10:08 PM
Homer Homer is offline
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Default Re: How often does an NBA game push?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
1 point makes it about the equivalent of a -1 or -2 cent arb.

[/ QUOTE ]

You mean like -1000/+999?

[/ QUOTE ]

OMG NOT ALL CENTS ARE ALIKE. THANKS FOR THE NEWSFLASH, GENIUS.
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