50NL AQ flops top two, now what?

[UncleKraut]

Villain is solid TAG. Can I ever get away from this correctly?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

CO ($15)
Button ($72.20)
SB ($49.50)
BB ($19.70)
UTG ($50.45)
Hero ($50)
MP1 ($12.80)
MP2 ($117.45)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, CO calls $2, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB calls $1.75, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: ($6.50) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $4</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $10</font>, CO folds, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $51.5 (All-In)</font>

[Mr. Pozzer]

I don't get away from this but w/e. If he has AK beaten he is either splitting against you or has 999. That should make it a fold. If he would reraise w/AK preflop I lean towards a fold.

[BigBiceps]

I call this, maybe a leak.

He is in SB, but there is only 1 combination of A9s and 3 combinations of 99.

Solid TAG, not sure what that means here, but to me it means A9o is not in his SB defense range, but TJs is in his semi-bluff push range if he thinks you can laydown AK.

[bottomset]

lol top2 raised pot, 1stack deep

[CesareBorgia]

There are three ways SB can have 99, one way he can have AA and one way he can have QQ, meaning that eight possible holdings can beat you.

Your opponent can have AK eight ways, AJ eight ways, AT eight ways, and A9 six ways. But since he appears to be a solid player, let's say that there's only a 17% chance that your opponent would play top pair this way.

You are up front at this point in the hand ten times (10=(8+8+8)/6+6) and you are behind five times. I have yet to take into account the fact the one of you who is behind could still outdraw the other. Nonetheless, I feel it's safe to say that a call it the correct play here, because you have to pay $41.50 to call when there's already $68 in the pot.

[bottomset]

there are only 3combos of 99 possible after the flop

[Renton]

prty easy call

[CesareBorgia]

You are absolutely correct. This makes the argument for calling even stronger.

[bigslicknuts]

Yeah I don't get away from this at 50NL..

[effang]

standard spot, and not tough at all. just a cooler usually.