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  #1  
Old 06-01-2007, 08:06 PM
TheRenaissance TheRenaissance is offline
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Posts: 1,209
Default 200bb: Iffy river but I push anyways

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.15/$0.30 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

<font color="black">SB: $62.75</font>
<font color="black">BB: $17.65</font>
UTG: $86.35
MP: $54.20
<font color="black">Hero (CO): $71.25</font>
BTN: $21.05

<font color="black">Reads: </font><font color="blue">Villain is unknown.</font>

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt 4 4 (6 Players)
2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.05</font>, BTN folds, SB calls $0.90, BB calls $0.75

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($3.15) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $3.00</font>, SB calls $3.00, BB folds

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($9.15) 6 (2 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $6.00</font>, SB calls $6.00

<font color="black">River:</font> ($21.15) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $13.50</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises all-in to $61.20
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  #2  
Old 06-01-2007, 08:14 PM
SykoraG SykoraG is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 379
Default Re: 200bb: Iffy river but I push anyways

If villain is calling a PSB off the flop, I like to pot the turn as well. As played I call the river, push looks spewy versus unknown (since we can't put him on a range)
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  #3  
Old 06-02-2007, 04:04 AM
TheRenaissance TheRenaissance is offline
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Posts: 1,209
Default Re: 200bb: Iffy river but I push anyways

Bump.

To shove river we will need more than 50% equity against villains calling range.
This range will certainly include sets, straights and and two pair. Problem is, to make the shove profitable I will need exactly two overpairs to call as well (I dont think A8 will call a shove) given the range below. I'm not sure I have that enough to make this a profitable move.

Any comments about the range?

Hold'em Simulation
51 trials (Exhaustive)
board: 4s3d8h6d2h
Hand Pot equity
4d4c 52.94%
33,55,66,88,56,86,43,TT,AA 47.06%
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