bluff overshove this river? 100NL

[Grandezza]

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Why would a TAG call the turn with KQ and fold to a blank river?

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I think a lot of TAGs call two barrels but have problems calling three. Even when the river blanks.

[scatt_man]

i think i am c/f here ...even a draw for this villain seems sorta unlikely

i don't think he is cold calling QT here preflop even if it is clubs ... so i doubt he is on a draw here

my guess would be that he has KQ .... therefore you need to give up

[icantfeelit]

Yeah overshove is pretty sick

[cs3]

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Why would a TAG call the turn with KQ and fold to a blank river?

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no offense, but this thinking is just wrong. RANGES CHANGE ON THE RIVER!
he might fold Kx because nobody 3 barrel bluffs this deep, and nobody is value shoving worse ever.
villains hand is obv face up as either a draw or one pair at this point,
and i think shoving gets him to fold a pretty high % of the time - at least 2/3 of the time i would guess. i havent done the math yet though so i dont know exactly how often he must fold here to show a profit, but a shove will fold out most hands in villains range

[VPIP100]

But thats just the KQ hand he would fold only 2/3 of the time, he could have much stronger hands which he wont ever fold.

[ikestoys]

fyi - you aren't going to find a better spot to crai on the turn

[cs3]

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But thats just the KQ hand he would fold only 2/3 of the time, he could have much stronger hands which he wont ever fold.

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are you kidding me? what stronger hands than Kx does he ever show up with here?
no, i mean i think he'll fold at least 2/3 the time overall

[Shizzle12345]

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fyi - you aren't going to find a better spot to crai on the turn

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Lol how come that i agree with every single post you make.