Fold equity

[chimpanzepoopdic]

Please forgive this lowly chimp. I cant help it that my species took a wrong turn down its evolutionary path.


If you were 100% sure that if you bet that your opponent would fold and you had a 28% draw, your total equity couldn't equal 128%. Hand equity + fold equity doesnt work I got that much.

So should I be looking at it this way.
Lets say I have a nut draw with a 28% chance to improve. Johny will fold 50% of the time if I bet on the turn.
Of the other 50% of the time when he calls I will win 28% of those times with my draw.
Therefore my total equity = 50% + 28% of 50 which would be 64.
yes/no

[WhiteWolf]

If your hand has no chance to win without hitting your draw, the answer is yes.

However, it's a bit more complicated if its possible your hand already beats some hands in your opponent's range. For example, say you semibluff on the flop with a draw to a jack-high flush. If the only hands he folds are ten-high or worse, and those hands make up 50% of his range, you actually gain very little in fold equity by betting. This is where hand-reading and putting an opponent on a range will really help your game.