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I can only beat a bluff on the river - is it worth a call? $100 NL
I have stats on the villian but don't really remember playing with him before (they're probably idleminer stats). The villian is 12/7/3.5 and raises CBs 20% of the time. I have trouble giving him credit for the flush or a Q when he C/Rs the turn, so the river doesn't make me think his hand has improved. How often is he bluffing here with a lone spade or straight draw? I'm getting $81:$31 pot odds, so as long as I'm beating him 30% of the time or so, it's a good call.
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (9 handed) Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) MP1 ($104.35) MP2 ($127.85) MP3 ($114.25) Hero ($180.85) Button ($106.35) SB ($99) BB ($87.50) UTG ($285.45) UTG+1 ($100) Preflop: Hero is CO with 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $3.5</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB calls $3, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>. Flop: ($8) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> SB checks, Hero checks. Turn: ($8) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $5</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $21</font>, Hero calls $16. River: ($50) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets $31</font>, Hero ??? Should I call here? Am I totally off to think this might be a bluff more than 30% of the time? ts- |
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