100nl - bottom set faces hudge donkbet

[SkinnyLittleTwig]

Readless, though villain saw me lose a stack earlier with AK aipf against some guy's AA

first time in forever that i've seriously considered folding a set

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

BB ($89.85)
<font color="#C00000">UTG ($185.05)</font>
MP ($193.50)
<font color="#C00000">Hero ($94.90)</font>
SB ($108.80)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
UTG calls $1, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $5</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG calls $4.

Flop: ($11.50) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $39</font>

[Fiksdal]

I can't see this being anything but a shove.

[orange]

[ QUOTE ]
I can't see this being anything but a shove.

[/ QUOTE ]

or maybe call and hope turn bricks and hten shove.

[Fractured_simile]

readless im shoving here, and hopping that villain is a really bad player w/78, 99+, air. My read on this bet is trying to scare out the naked As/ buy. You've got equity against made hands, there are hands you beat, and maybe fold equity although this probably isn't large.

That said if there was ever a board to fold bottom set to an overbet from an unknown, this is it. If we were both deep folding would probably be the smaller mistake.

[spivey]

[ QUOTE ]
readless im shoving here, and hopping that villain is a really bad player w/78, 99+, air. My read on this bet is trying to scare out the naked As/ buy. You've got equity against made hands, there are hands you beat, and maybe fold equity although this probably isn't large.

That said if there was ever a board to fold bottom set to an overbet from an unknown, this is it. If we were both deep folding would probably be the smaller mistake.

[/ QUOTE ]

There's nothing beating us that will fold. So what FE do we have? As you said, villain is playing like he doesn't want a spade to hit. I don't think we beat much besides 87. Seems unlikely a villain would play 99 or 98 like this. Much more likely it's a baby flush, straight, all 2 pair combos, or a set I would think.

I'm sure I'd push in a game, but after thinking about it, I think if you've been at a table a little bit with him and havent' seen him do anything really weird like this, a fold is probably correct.

[SkinnyLittleTwig]

one funny leak i have is that i pretty much instashove the As on this flop, on the basis that i don't have any implied odds because if i hit my hand the board will be super scary. but here it feels worse because even if we have more equity against a random hand, we could be drawing almost dead

[Fractured_simile]

Edited to mask posters stupidity.